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Matt Levine News

Who will be guests on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast in 2026?

Nov 27, 12:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2915855

OptionProbability

Elon Musk

David Reich

Jensen Huang

Dylan Patel (as guest)

Sarah Paine

Nicholas Carlini

Dwarkesh Patel (see note)

Dean Ball

Demis Hassabis

Yann LeCun

Tyler Cowen

Dean Spears

Alec Radford

Amanda Askell

Jack Clark

Joscha Bach

Sundar Pichai

Gary Marcus

Ian Morris

Daniel Kokotajlo

Satya Nadella

Joe Henrich

Scott Alexander

Michael Dell

Noam Brown

Paul J Werbos

Holden Karnofsky

Eliezer Yudkowsky

roon

Mira Murati

Hans Moravec

Zvi Mowshowitz

Ilya Sutskever

François Chollet

Michael Levin

Helen Toner

Ajeya Cotra

Doris Taylor

Carl Shulman

Sam Altman

Jeff Bezos

Janus @repligate

Nick Bostrom

Liang Wenfeng (CEO of DeepSeek)

Andrej Karpathy

Matt Levine

George Hotz

Bill Gates

Joe Carlsmith

Tanner Greer

Tamay Besiroglu

Mustafa Suleyman

Nate Soares

Mark Zuckerberg

Dan Hendrycks

Robert Caro

Barack Obama

Xiao Hong (CEO of Manus AI)

Kamala Harris

Donald Trump

Bill Clinton

100

100

100

100

99

59

50

34

32

30

29

28

26

25

25

24

23

23

22

21

20

19

19

18

18

18

18

17

16

16

16

15

15

15

15

15

15

15

15

14

14

14

14

14

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

10

9

8

7

6

6

Will Matt Levine have a Substack by EOY 2026?

Jan 10, 4:49 AMJan 17, 4:47 AM

15.07%chance

161819

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2374

421

Did Jane Street do anything wrong in India?

Jul 9, 9:59 PMJan 1, 5:51 PM

47.56%chance

251610

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29.24%chance

28968

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1361

797

Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07?

Nov 8, 10:09 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM

56.94%chance

1150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

870

When will Matt Levine write/talk about a new mistake made at Citi Bank caused by bad UI

Feb 10, 10:17 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1110

OptionProbability

before 2031

before 2030

before 2029

before 2028

before 2027

50

34

24

17

10

Mojo stock

May 7, 1:41 AMMay 7, 3:59 AM

662

OptionProbability

NO

YES

116

72

Will Ryan Cohen pull a bunch of shenanigans at eBay (without buying it)?

May 12, 11:33 PMJan 1, 12:32 AM

47.02%chance

214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

94

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