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Prediction markets for Matthew

Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?

May 1, 10:23 PMSep 2, 3:59 AM

505274384

OptionProbability

Jon Ossoff

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Gavin Newsom

Other

Kamala Harris

Pete Buttigieg

Raphael Warnock

Josh Shapiro

JB Pritzker

Andy Beshear

Mark Kelly

James Talarico

Gretchen Whitmer

Colin Allred

Amy Klobuchar

Rahm Emanuel

There won't be a real election because of MAGA fascism

Cory Booker

Chris Van Hollen

Ro Khanna

Abdul El-Sayed

Jared Polis

Tim Walz

Connor Duffy

[Invalid - Duplicate]

Yishan Wong

Adolf Hitler

Mark Cuban

Michelle Obama

Andrew Cuomo

John Fetterman

Stephen A. Smith

Ritchie Torres

Elissa Slotkin

Jill Biden

Wes Moore

Invalid

Jasmine Crockett

Invalid

Ruben Gallego

Hakeem Jeffries

Matthew Robert Patrick (MatPat)

Zohran Mamdani

Jacob Frey

Noam Chomsky

Mikie Sherrill

Taylor Swift

Liz Cheney

Kirsten Gillibrand

Ezra Klein

Andrew Yang

Invalid

Josh Green

Chris Murphy

Bernie Sanders

John Stewart

Jamie Dimon

George Washington

Paris Hilton

Donald Trump

Luigi Mangione @LuigiMangione

George Clooney

Bob brooks

18

17

15

9

6

4

4

3

3

3

3

3

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Matthew Barnett on whether an AI can pass his exams in 2029?

Jan 19, 6:31 PMJan 31, 5:59 AM

5.95%chance

19570826

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5527

1702

Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043?

Aug 20, 10:09 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

28%chance

3320202

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6387

4741

Will Matthew McConaughey ever be a candidate for President of the United States?

Aug 5, 10:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.39%chance

432253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1899

776

Will Matthew McConaughey run for the Senate or the House of Representatives or governor before 2050?

Jan 14, 7:34 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

34.98%chance

15757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

985

Will Matthew Rognlie (https://sites.northwestern.edu/rognlie/) win the Nobel Prize in Economics in his lifetime?

Sep 14, 12:48 PMSep 21, 10:59 PM

50%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Matthew Stanley Meselson reach age 100

Jun 27, 8:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.09%chance

225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

Will Matthew Barnett have a child by EOY 2032

Dec 23, 7:48 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

61%chance

013

OptionVotes

NO

YES

63

40

Will Matthew McAteer have girlfriend by EOY2028?

Aug 25, 4:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

Will Serena Ge join forces with Matthew Barnett, Tamay, and Mechanize?

Jun 11, 3:57 AMJan 1, 4:57 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

"Prediction Markets in Journalism" with Dylan Matthews and Scott Alexander - Discussion

Oct 4, 5:05 PM

00

Is Matthew Gentzel the highest integrity person ever?

Feb 26, 11:16 PM

60

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