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Prediction markets for Matthew White

Will the next president state a P(doom)?

Jul 30, 2:59 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

1711140

OptionProbability

Trump / No

Trump / Yes

Harris / Yes

Harris / No

Other

84

14

1

1

1

Who will be the next NASA Administrator?

Jun 1, 5:48 AMJun 2, 5:43 AM

164041

OptionProbability

Other

Steven L. Kwast

Sean Duffy

Jared Isaacman

Matthew P. Anderson

Janet Petro

Jim Bridenstine

Donald J. Trump

69

23

2

1

1

1

1

1

Will OpenAI demo a desktop or browser assistant that automates white-collar tasks before 2026?

Mar 28, 9:47 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.64%chance

391771

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1353

824

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