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Prediction markets for Max

Will Portland MAX light rail extend to Vancouver WA before end of 2030

Sep 26, 10:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.79%chance

1278225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

50846

2069

Will Portland MAX light rail extend to Vancouver WA before end of 2028

Sep 26, 10:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2.45%chance

46715

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6312

158

Is Max Tegmark's mathematical universe hypothesis correct?

May 28, 9:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.16%chance

362883

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1423

839

Where Will Season 4 of MAX's "The White Lotus" Be Set?

Apr 1, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

142135

OptionProbability

France

Mexico

Greece

Japan

Australia

United Kingdom

United States

United Arab Emirates

India

Brazil

Switzerland

Other Location

98

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will the HBO Max app still exist on July 1, 2027?

Dec 5, 8:37 PMJul 1, 8:35 PM

80.01%chance

81707

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2001

500

New Claude tier above Max 20x before 2027?

Jan 9, 8:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.34%chance

10852

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

789

Will Max get a permanent position with a research focus at a top 10 university within 5 years of finishing his PhD?

Jun 25, 1:58 PMJul 1, 2:01 PM

47%chance

14753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

956

Will Max Verstappen win 4 of the opening 10 races of the 2026 F1 Season?

Feb 12, 12:06 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

8.8%chance

18707

OptionVotes

YES

NO

322

31

Will Max Roser create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 7:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42.33%chance

10345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

779

Zen 6 desktop CPU with 7.00+ GHz max boost clock before 2029?

Nov 6, 9:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.24%chance

5184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

256

81

Which Year Will Max Park Lose All His World Records?

Feb 16, 1:18 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

134

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2025

2026

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034+

59

59

41

41

41

41

41

41

41

41

Will Nathan Cheng outlive Max Novendstern?

Aug 28, 7:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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