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Prediction markets for Max

Will Portland MAX light rail extend to Vancouver WA before end of 2030

Sep 26, 10:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.57%chance

1283017

OptionVotes

YES

NO

46054

2277

Will Portland MAX light rail extend to Vancouver WA before end of 2028

Sep 26, 10:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.33%chance

57736

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5390

186

Is Max Tegmark's mathematical universe hypothesis correct?

May 28, 9:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.16%chance

362883

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1423

839

Will Max Verstappen move to Mercedes in F1 2025 or 2026?

Mar 4, 3:08 PMDec 20, 10:59 PM

3.03%chance

352148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

57

Will the HBO Max app still exist on July 1, 2027?

Dec 5, 8:37 PMJul 1, 8:35 PM

80.01%chance

81707

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2001

500

Anthropic introduces a individual subscription beyond the 20x Max plan before June 1st?

Apr 22, 3:18 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

19.08%chance

151217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2059

486

New Claude tier above Max 20x before 2027?

Jan 9, 8:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.71%chance

10916

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1313

762

Will Max get a permanent position with a research focus at a top 10 university within 5 years of finishing his PhD?

Jun 25, 1:58 PMJul 1, 2:01 PM

47%chance

14753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

956

What will be Max Verstappen's next team after Red Bull Racing?

Apr 18, 5:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11479

OptionProbability

Aston Martin

Mercedes

He'll leave F1 without driving for another team

Audi/Sauber

Ferrari

McLaren

Racing Bulls

Alpine

Haas

Williams

Cadillac

Other

27

23

22

10

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

Will Max Roser create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 7:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42.33%chance

10345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

779

Anthropic Removes Claude Code From Every Plan Except Max in 2026

Apr 23, 6:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56%chance

13345

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

89

What will be the MAX yield produced by my bell peppers 🫑 ?

May 30, 6:13 PMMay 30, 8:59 PM

657

OptionProbability

3 pods

4 pods

5 pods

1 pod

2 pods

28

20

20

19

13

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