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Top stories

Bannon Rips GOP Leaders Over Reported $58 Billion Ukraine Aid Push

Authors

3

9 months ago

Prediction markets for McConnell

When will Mitch McConnell retire?

Oct 9, 3:35 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

7620487

OptionProbability

Later

He will leave politics in some other fashion.

2026

2023

2024

2025

Other

86

7

6

0

0

0

0

Will Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?

Jul 28, 2:56 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM

65.97%chance

10710212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2150

524

Will Rep. Thomas Massie run for and win Mitch McConnell's vacant senate seat in the 2026 Midterms?

Mar 2, 2:46 AMNov 5, 7:59 AM

1.05%chance

1210197

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9717

103

Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden?

Jan 26, 12:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.89%chance

866852

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1351

516

Mitch McConnell stock

Apr 9, 8:28 AMApr 10, 3:59 AM

235429

OptionProbability

NO

YES

458

262

Will Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027?

Jul 27, 7:24 PMJan 5, 4:59 AM

24.1%chance

413962

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1803

259

Who will be the last 20th century US Senator?

May 10, 12:34 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

82930

OptionProbability

Patty Murray (1993)

Ron Wyden (1996)

Mike Crapo (1999)

Chuck Schumer (1999)

Susan Collins (1997)

Jack Reed (1997)

Chuck Grassley (1981)

Dick Durbin (1997)

Mitch McConnell (1985)

26

17

16

15

12

9

3

1

1

Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀

Aug 26, 3:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38990

OptionProbability

Mitch McConnell

Chuck Grassley

Kay Ivey

Angus King

Bernie Sanders

John Roberts

Clarence Thomas

Samuel Alito

Sonya Sotomayor

Donald Trump

Nancy Pelosi

78

74

35

20

17

16

14

14

14

12

4

Was Mitch Mcconnell "'Frozen' By The Deep State."?

Aug 9, 3:01 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9.27%chance

23738

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1295

937

Will Mitch McConnell die in 2026?

Feb 4, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.63%chance

22613

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

53

Will Mitch McConnell have another absent seizure on live tv and be removed from office?

Oct 11, 12:36 AMJan 22, 6:59 AM

11.19%chance

12482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

382

127

Will Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term)

Feb 24, 9:47 PMJan 3, 11:59 PM

76.97%chance

10250

OptionVotes

NO

YES

351

120

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