OptionProbability
Suella Braverman
Robert Jenrick
At least five MPs elected as Conservatives in 2024
At least one MP elected as Labour in 2024
Katie Lam
Jacob Rees-Mogg
Liz Truss
Priti Patel
Dan Carden
100
89
58
54
39
36
20
13
Travis Head
Alex Carey
Nathan McSweeney
Cam Green
Josh Inglis
Other
Sam Konstas
Marnus Labuschagne
24
15
11
9
OptionVotes
YES
NO
200
63
110
91
