OptionProbability
Suella Braverman
Robert Jenrick
At least five MPs elected as Conservatives in 2024
Jacob Rees-Mogg
Liz Truss
At least one MP elected as Labour in 2024
Katie Lam
Priti Patel
Dan Carden
100
66
39
36
29
20
13
Travis Head
Alex Carey
Nathan McSweeney
Cam Green
Josh Inglis
Other
Sam Konstas
Marnus Labuschagne
24
15
11
9
OptionVotes
YES
NO
460