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Prediction markets for Melonie
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
95
93
91
34
31
20
14
13
7
6
5
4
what will be the result of the Italian constitutional referendum on March 22nd-23rd?
Mar 21, 11:05 AMMar 24, 1:59 PM
20%chance
164127
OptionVotes
200
50
OptionProbability
40
15
7
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will the current Italian government last for the entire term of office?
Sep 4, 6:15 PMOct 22, 9:59 PM
74%chance
292078
OptionVotes
1723
233
Will the italian government last for the entire term of office?
Mar 8, 12:37 AMMar 1, 11:00 AM
80.91%chance
242042
OptionVotes
1826
131
Will Sicily be connected with the mainland by a bridge before 2038?
Mar 18, 10:23 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
50%chance
202034
OptionVotes
1186
753
Will Michele Boldrin (Italian economist & professor) partecipate at the next elections in Italy?
Apr 15, 5:50 PMOct 21, 10:59 PM
57.65%chance
151521
OptionVotes
1400
302
Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson
Feb 5, 5:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
4.37%chance
15484
OptionVotes
483
31
Will Meloni's constitutional reform of electoral laws pass in Italy before 2027?
Nov 5, 4:18 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
9.72%chance
11434
OptionVotes
209
29
OptionProbability
24
23
20
6
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
Will the current Italian government complete its full term until 2027?
Jan 2, 8:58 PMOct 22, 9:59 PM
63.86%chance
9202
OptionVotes
133
75
OptionProbability
76
59
59
54
41
34
34
30
17
10