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Prediction markets for Mich

Will Michael Nielsen agree by 2030 that private-only funding for science significantly improves the status quo?

Feb 5, 11:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.08%chance

233995

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1347

920

Will assisted suicide become legal in Michigan before 2035?

Aug 3, 3:32 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

27.78%chance

52305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1612

620

Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?

Jan 3, 8:10 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

46.98%chance

331926

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1187

691

Next Michael Lewis book primarily about prediction markets?

Nov 25, 5:00 PMMar 1, 5:59 AM

15.08%chance

81654

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2052

100

Will Michele Boldrin (Italian economist & professor) partecipate at the next elections in Italy?

Apr 15, 5:50 PMOct 21, 10:59 PM

58.73%chance

141421

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1415

292

Will Michael Bay make a Skibidi Toilet film by the end of 2028?

Jul 29, 7:50 PMNov 26, 11:59 PM

39.19%chance

161031

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1246

803

Will Michael Bailey publish a fraudulent test of the gAyGP thesis by 2032?

Jan 27, 10:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

80%chance

11000

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2000

500

Will there be a Michael Lewis book centering on OpenAI or Sam Altman?

Aug 8, 7:42 PMAug 9, 3:59 AM

19.93%chance

11899

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1289

905

Will Michael Levin have a paper on bioelectricity or related systems which has over 2000 citations, by mid 2031

Jan 25, 11:12 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

49.28%chance

10704

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

986

Will Michigan HB 4938 (“Anticorruption of Public Morals Act”) become law with its VPN ban intact by the end of 2026?

Nov 23, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.35%chance

3515

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1515

660

Will the Michigan Tinnitus Device (Auricle) be released before the end of 2030?

Nov 29, 10:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.34%chance

330

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1599

1582

Will assisted suicide become legal in Michigan before 2045?

Aug 3, 3:32 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

50.24%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1005

995

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