OptionProbability
Political collapse or revolution in Moscow
Multiple foreign countries directly join the war against Russia
Putin dies of natural causes
Ukraine regains control of occupied territories
Ukrainian AF privatization/decentralization (widescale use of PMCs)
Decisive military counteroffensive
Russia enters recession
Ukraine joins NATO
78
60
52
41
35
34
33
16
OptionVotes
NO
YES
631
100
Caleb Williams
Bo Nix
Drake Maye
Jayden Daniels
None before 2035
Other
26
19
9
6
