OptionProbability
Political collapse or revolution in Moscow
Multiple foreign countries directly join the war against Russia
Putin dies of natural causes
Ukraine regains control of occupied territories
Ukrainian AF privatization/decentralization (widescale use of PMCs)
Decisive military counteroffensive
Russia enters recession
Ukraine joins NATO
78
60
49
41
35
34
28
16
OptionVotes
YES
NO
143
70
