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Prediction markets for Michael Lewis

Who will be the F1 World Champion (WDC) in 2025?

Sep 20, 12:12 PMDec 8, 11:59 PM

10946111

OptionProbability

Oscar Piastri (McLaren)

Lando Norris (McLaren)

Max Verstappen (Red Bull)

Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)

Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)

George Russell (Mercedes)

Sergio Perez (Red Bull)

Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)

Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)

Other

74

24

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Lewis Hamilton win his eighth world title in 2025, breaking Michael Schumacher’s record of seven titles?

Feb 8, 10:16 AMDec 2, 4:59 AM

2.21%chance

2414692

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6935

589

Who will author the top-selling book about OpenAI by 2030?

Feb 26, 4:30 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

352856

OptionProbability

Michael Lewis

Other

No book about OpenAI will reach the NYT bestseller list

Sam Altman

Roon (@tszzl)

Ilya Sutskever

Rich Shapero

Karen Hao

James Gleick

73

10

4

3

3

2

2

1

1

Will there be a Michael Lewis book centering on OpenAI or Sam Altman?

Aug 8, 7:42 PMAug 9, 3:59 AM

25%chance

10649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1039

977

Will Daryl Morey win an NBA title as a team executive before 2035?

Feb 10, 8:50 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

15.05%chance

9586

OptionVotes

YES

NO

600

242

Will a top 2 Tech Leader Biographer write a book about Sam Altman before mid 2029

Nov 17, 9:39 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

62%chance

8423

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

147

What will the subject of the next Michael Lewis book be?

Oct 7, 4:43 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26

OptionProbability

Other

AI

2023 Banking Crisis

Global Supply Chains

Crypto

Climate Change

Healthcare

2024 Election

Michael Lewis

28

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

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