OptionVotes
YES
NO
1306
25
131
1
380
145
69
141
5
130
111
110
91
OptionProbability
The 4-stage escalation trap and which stage we're at now
Iran's nuclear strategy — how many weapons, test detonation logic, timeline
Global power shifts — China, Russia, Iran as a combined bloc vs. the US
Oil control — Iran + Russia potentially controlling 30% of world oil supply
Trump's options — ground troops, oil fields, the deal with Israel containment
NATO's future — whether Article 5 still has any real meaning
17
