OptionProbability
[AUS] A Driver DNF due to reliability problems (e.g., engine, power unit etc.)
[AUS] Red flag during qualifying
[AUS] At least 3 DNF
[AUS] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)
[TEST] Cadillac sets the slowest lap time of the whole testing session
[AUS] P1 & P2 by same team
[AUS] winner has no WDC title
[AUS] Audi reaches Q2 (Qualifying)
[AUS] Ferrari finishes on the podium
[AUS] An Audi driver finishes in top 10 (race)
[AUS] Verstappen finishes in top 10 (race)
[CHN] Yellow flag first lap Sprint
[CHN] Yellow flag first lap main race
[CHN] Ferrari on the podium of the sprint race
[CHN] Bearman scores points in the sprint race (top 8)
[CHN] Mercedes 1-2 in the main qualifying
[CHN] VSC or Physical Safety car during the sprint race
[CHN] A Ferrari is P1 at the end of lap 1 (main race)
[CHN] Physical Safety Car during the main race
[CHN] Mercedes 1-2 in the main race
[CHN] Bearman scores points in the main race (top 10)
[CHN] 5 or more DNF in the main race
[JAP] Physical Safety Car during the race
[JAP] Team other than Mercedes or Ferrari gets a podium
[JAP] Antonelli wins the race
[MIA] Non-Mercedes pole position in sprint qualifying
[MIA] McLaren 1-2 in the sprint race
[MIA] Leclerc podium in the sprint race
[MIA] Physical Safety Car in the main race
[MIA] A Mercedes finishes outside the top 5 in the sprint race
[MIA] Gasly reaches Q3 (main race qualifying)
[MIA] Antonelli wins the main race
[MIA] A McLaren on the podium in the main race
[MIA] Race start time is changed or cancelled due to weather conditions
[CAN] Three different teams on the podium (main race)
[CAN] Mercedes 1-2 in the sprint qualifying
[CAN] Red flag during sprint qualifying
[CAN] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton in the sprint race
[CAN] 5 or more DNS/DNF in the main race
[CAN] An Alpine finishes in top 10 in the main race
[CAN] Hamilton finishes on podium in the main race
[CAN] Hamilton outfinishes Verstappen (main race)
[MON] Pole Sitter wins the race
[MON] Red flag during qualifying
[MON] Red flag during the race
[MON] A driver overtakes their teammate on track
[MON] Safety car (non-virtual) during the race
[MON] Pole position margin is less than 50 milliseconds
[MON] Three different teams on the podium
[MON] Hadjar finishes in top 5 (race)
[MON] A Williams scores points (top 10)
[MON] 3 or more DNF/DNS
[BAR] An Audi reaches Q3
[BAR] Hamilton on the podium
[BAR] Verstappen finishes in top 5
[BAR] 3 or more DNF/DNS
[BAR] At least one driver that finishes in top 5 does 3 pit stops (or more)
[BAR] At least one podium finisher from team other than Ferrari or Mercedes
[AUT] Qualifying lap invalidated due to track limits
[AUT] Both Ferraris in top 5 in qualifying
[AUT] Both Racing Bulls finish in top 10 (race)
[GBR] Physical Safety Car during the race
[GBR] Sprint race is won by a driver ranked top-8 in the championship
[GBR] Yellow flag first lap (main race)
[GBR] Both Ferraris in top 4 in the main qualifying
[GBR] Both Ferraris finish the main race in top 4
[GBR] Hadjar finishes ahead of Verstappen (main race)
[GBR] Both Racing Bulls finish the main race in top 10
[GBR] Antonelli and Russel gap within 10 seconds at the end of the main race
[SPA] Red flag in qualifying
[SPA] Antonelli wins the race
[SPA] An Audi reaches Q3
[SPA] Physical Safety Car during the race
[SPA] A Ferrari on the podium
[SPA] Hadjar finishes the race in top 10
[SPA] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton
[SPA] Yellow flag first lap
[HUN] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[HUN] Pole position margin is less than 50 milliseconds
[HUN] An Aston Martin reaches Q2
[HUN] An Audi reaches Q3
[HUN] Russel qualifies outside the top 4
[HUN] Antonelli on the podium
[HUN] Hulkenberg finishes the race in top 10
[HUN] Both Racing Bulls finish the race in top 10
[ZAN] Leclerc on the podium of the sprint race
[ZAN] Non-Mercedes pole position (main qualifying)
[ZAN] Gasly finishes in top 10 in the main race
[ITA] Physical Safety Car during the race
[ITA] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[ITA] Italian driver wins the race
[ITA] Red Flag during the race
[ITA] Yuki Tsunoda scores a point
[ITA] Antonelli finishes the race in top 6
[MAD] Yellow flag first lap of the race
[MAD] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[MAD] Kimi Antonelli wins the race
[MAD] Russel qualifies outside the top 5
[MAD] Verstappen on the podium
[MAD] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton
[MAD] Colapinto scores points
[MAD] Linblad scores points
[MAD] An Audi scores points
[MAD] Three different teams on the podium
[AZE] Physical Safety Car during the race
[AZE] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[AZE] Verstappen on podium
[AZE] A Williams finishes in top 10
[BHR] Intermediate or Wet tyres used in qualifying or race
[BHR] Physical Safety Car during the race
[BHR] Antonelli scores more points than Russell
[BHR] Verstappen wins the race
[BHR] Aston Martin scores at least one point
[BHR] An Alpine reaches Q3
[BHR] An Audi reaches Q3
[BHR] Hadjar finishes ahead of Russel
[BHR] Lawson scores points
[BHR] A Ferrari on the podium
[SIN] Same driver wins Sprint and feature race
[SIN] 3+ DNF in Sprint
[SIN] Same driver takes pole in the sprint and main qualifying
[SIN] A Ferrari on the podium of the sprint race
[SIN] A Ferrari on the podium of the main race
[SIN] Hadjar finishes in top 10 in the main race
[COTA] A Ferrari on the podium
[MEX] Physical Safety Car during the race
[MEX] Kimi Antonelli wins the WDC Title
[MEX] Red flag during qualifying
[MEX] 4 or more DNF
[MEX] Verstappen on the podium
[MEX] Yellow flag first lap
[MEX] GP winner margin is less than 5 seconds
[BRA] Red Flag during qualifying
[BRA] Intermediate or Wet tyres used during qualifying
[BRA] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[BHR] Yellow flag first lap
Leave it open for the upcoming GP (tip jar)
[BRA] Brazilian driver reaches Q3
[AUS] Physical Safety Car during the race
[AUS] Yellow flag first lap
[AUS] Both Aston Martins qualify in the last row (21st and 22nd)
[TEST] Cadillac in the top 5 of the timesheets on any single day
[TEST] Ferrari sets the most laps during the whole testing session
[TEST] Mercedes sets the fastest lap time of the whole testing session
[TEST] First red flag caused by a driver error/spin etc. (not mechanical failure)
[AUS] Both Aston Martins retire after formation lap before race start
[AUS] The car finishing on P5 gets lapped
[AUS] Both Aston Martins don't finish the race
[AUS] Hadjar finishes on the podium
[CHN] Ferrari qualifies 1st or 2nd in the sprint qualifying (at least one driver)
[CHN] Red flag during sprint qualifying
[CHN] Mercedes 1-2 in the sprint race
[CHN] Gasly scores points in the sprint race (top 8)
[CHN] An Audi reaches Q3 (main race qualifying)
[CHN] Impeding penalty during qualifying for the main race
[CHN] An Audi scores points in the main race (top 10)
[CHN] A Red Bull Racing driver finishes in top 5 (main race)
[CHN] Winner wins by 11.00 seconds or more?
[JAP] Both Aston Martins DNF
[JAP] Yellow flag first lap
[JAP] Red flag in qualifying
[JAP] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[JAP] Team other than Mercedes gets pole position in qualifying
[JAP] Bearman reaches Q3
[JAP] 5 or more DNF (including DNS)
[JAP] Linblad scores points (top 10)
[JAP] Bortoleto scores points (top 10)
[JAP] Hadjar finishes ahead of Verstappen (face)
[JAP] A McLaren retires/DNS due to reliability issues
[JAP] Verstappen on the podium
[MIA] Impeding penalty during sprint qualifying
[MIA] Red flag during sprint qualifying
[MIA] Colapinto scores points in the sprint race
[MIA] Hadjar scores points in the sprint race
[MIA] Physical Safety Car in the sprint race
[MIA] McLaren pole position in qualifying for the main race
[MIA] Red flag during qualifying for the main race
[MIA] A Mercedes qualifies outside the top 5 (main race qualifying)
[MIA] Hadjar doesn't reach Q3 (main race qualifying)
[MIA] Verstappen on the Podium in the main race
[MIA] 5 or more DNF/DNS
[MIA] Both Ferrari finish in top 6 in the main race
[CAN] Physical Safety Car during the main race
[CAN] An Audi reaches SQ3 (Sprint Qualifying)
[CAN] Impeding penalty during sprint qualifying
[CAN] Mercedes 1-2 in the sprint race
[CAN] A Ferrari on the podium in the sprint race
[CAN] Physical Safety Car during the sprint race
[CAN] Yellow flag in the first lap of the sprint race
[CAN] Sainz scores points in the sprint race (top 8)
[CAN] Impeding penalty during qualifying for the main race
[CAN] Red flag during qualifying for the main race
[CAN] An Audi reaches Q3 (Main Race Qualifying)
[CAN] A Williams reaches Q3 (Main Race Qualifying)
[CAN] Yellow flag first lap of the main race
[CAN] Mercedes 1-2 in the main race
[CAN] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton in the main race
[CAN] Linblad scores points in the main race
[CAN] An Audi finishes in top 10 in the main race
[CAN] Oscar Piastri Finishes on Podium in the Main Race
[CAN] English broadcoast shows Colapinto's onboard camera view in the main race
[CAN] 7 or more DNS/DNF in the main race
[CAN] Piastri scores points in the main race
[MON] 5 or more on-track overtakes
[MON] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[MON] Wet or intermediate tyres used during the race
[MON] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)
[BAR] Physical Safety Car during the race
[BAR] Yellow flag in the first lap of the race
[BAR] Mercedes driver wins
[BAR] Both McLaren qualify in top 4
[BAR] Antonelli pole position in qualifying
[BAR] Hulkenberg scores points (top 10)
[BAR] Antonelli and Russel collide during the race
[BAR] Both Mercedes drivers on podium
[AUT] Wet or intermediate tyres used during qual or race
[AUT] Red flag during qualifying
[AUT] Physical safety car during the race
[AUT] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[AUT] Mercedes 1-2 in qualifying
[AUT] Pole position margin is less than 50 milliseconds
[AUT] An Audi reaches Q3
[AUT] Both Ferraris on the podium (race)
[AUT] Antonelli finishes ahead of Russel (race)
[AUT] Gasly finishes on top 10 (race)
[AUT] At least 2 drivers that finish in the top 5 did 3 or more pit stops during the race
[AUT] An Audi finishes in top 10 (race)
[AUT] 5 or more DNF/DNS
[AUT] Russel and Antonelli collide during the race
[AUT] Yellow flag first lap
[GBR] All three tire compounds used on starting grid (main race)
[GBR] All 22 cars classified in the race
[GBR] Wet or Intermediate tyres used in any of quals or races (sprint and main)
[GBR] The same driver wins both races
[GBR] Red flag during the main race
[GBR] Same pole sitter in both the sprint qualifying and the main qualifying
[GBR] Pole position margin for the main qualifying is less than 50 milliseconds
[GBR] Hamilton wins the sprint race
[GBR] Both Ferraris on the podium of the sprint race
[GBR] Hadjar finishes in top 8 in the sprint race
[GBR] Physical or Virtual Safety Car in the sprint race
[GBR] Russel qualfies 5th or lower in the main qualifying
[GBR] An Audi reaches Q3 (main qualifying)
[GBR] 4 or more DNF/DNS (main race)
[GBR] Antonelli and Russel collide during the main race
[SPA] Mercedes 1-2 in qualifying
[SPA] Wet or intermediate tyres used during qualifying or race
[SPA] 5 or more DNF/DNS
[SPA] Mercedes 1-2 in the race
[SPA] Norris finishes the race in top 6
[SPA] Antonelli and Russel collide during the race
[HUN] Physical Safety Car during the race
[HUN] Yellow flag first lap
[HUN] Red Flag during qualifying
[HUN] 4 or more DNF/DNS
[HUN] Ferrari pole position
[HUN] Both Racing Bulls reach Q3
[HUN] Video drone hits the sign over the track around turns 8-10
[HUN] A Ferrari on the podium
[HUN] Antonelli and Russel collide during the race
[HUN] McLaren 1-2 in the race
[ZAN] Yuki Tsunoda scores at least one point (sprint counts)
[ZAN] Yuki Tsunoda finishes either sprint or feature race ahead of Lawson
[ZAN] Same winner of the sprint and main race
[ZAN] Red flag during sprint qualifying or main qualifying
[ZAN] Ferrari pole position in the sprint qualifying
[ZAN] Antonelli scores more points than Russell over the entire weekend
[ZAN] Antonelli on the podium of the sprint race
[ZAN] Non-Mercedes driver wins the sprint race
[ZAN] Physical safety car during the main race
[ZAN] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton in the main race
[ZAN] Antonelli and Russel collide during the main race
[ZAN] Bortoleto finishes in top 10 in the main race
[ZAN] first and second driver finish with a gap of less than 5 seconds in the main race
[ITA] Red Flag during qualifying
[ITA] Pole position margin is less than 50 milliseconds
[ITA] Ferrari driver wins the race
[ITA] Aston Martin driver scores points
[ITA] Hadjar drives in the race
[ITA] Wet or intermediate tyres used in qual or race
[ITA] Gasly finishes the race in top 5
[ITA] Bearman scores points (top 10)
[ITA] A Ferrari on the podium
[ITA] Leclerc finishes the race ahead of Hamilton
[MAD] Leclerc misses race
[MAD] Red flag during qualifying or race
[MAD] Physical Safety Car during the race
[MAD] Carlos Sainz scores points
[MAD] At least five cars retire (DNF)
[MAD] Hamilton scores more points than Russell
[MAD] Leclerc crashes during any session and cannot participate in the rest of that session (FP, qualy or race)
[MAD] At least one car will be disqualified due to plank wear. Doesn't matter if they later get reinstated
[MAD] An Audi reaches Q3
[MAD] A Ferrari on the podium
[MAD] Antonelli leads at the end of the first lap of the main race
[AZE] Red Flag during qualifying or race
[AZE] Mercedes 1-2 in qualifying
[AZE] One Aston Martin finishes the race (lapped ok)
[AZE] Lewis Hamilton finishes ahead of Charles Leclerc (race)
[AZE] Kimi Antonelli scores more points than George Russel
[AZE] An Audi reaches Q3
[AZE] A Ferrari on the podium
[AZE] Antonelli on the podium
[BHR] At least 5 cars DNS/DNF
[BHR] Mercedes double podium
[BHR] Three WDC winners on podium
[BHR] One team qualifies P1 and P2
[BHR] RBR double podium
[BHR] At least one car retires due to a collision with another car
[SIN] RBR double podium in main race
[SIN] Antonelli wins main race
[SIN] Aston scores at least one point over the weekend
[SIN] 5+ DNF in feature race
[SIN] Red Flag in the main qualifying
[SIN] Impeding penalty during the main qualifying
[SIN] Physical Safety Car during the main race
[SIN] Russel finishes the main race in top 6
[SIN] Both Racing Bulls score points in the main race
[SIN] Bearman scores points in the main race
[SIN] Sainz scores points in the main race
[SIN] Intermediate or wet tyres used in the main race
[COTA] Physical Safety Car during the race
[COTA] Red flag during qualifying
[COTA] Antonelli secures WDC
[COTA] A McLaren driver on the podium
[COTA] Max Verstappen wins the race
[COTA] A Ferrari qualifies P1 or P2
[COTA] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[COTA] A Haas reaches Q3
[COTA] Race winner has 2 or more tire changes
[COTA] Haas score at least 1 point
[COTA] An Audi finishes the race in top 10
[COTA] Hadjar on the podium
[COTA] Both Racing Bulls score points
[COTA] 4 or more DNF
[MEX] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[MEX] Both Ferraris on the podium
[MEX] Piastri finishes outside the top 10
[MEX] An Audi scores points
[MEX] Russel finishes ahead of Antonelli
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
31
23
10
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Other
JD Vance
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Gavin Newsom
Pete Buttigieg
Ron DeSantis
Kamala Harris
Josh Shapiro
Tucker Carlson
Donald Trump
Gretchen Whitmer
Andy Beshear
JB Pritzker
Nikki Haley
Mark Kelly
Donald Trump Jr.
Mark Cuban
Ruben Gallego
None
Vivek Ramaswamy
Joe Biden
Tim Scott
Katie Hobbs
Greg Abbott
Elizabeth Warren
Mike Johnson
Ted Cruz
Mike Pence
Jared Polis
Michelle Obama
Ivanka Trump
Elon Musk
Sam Altman
Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson
Elise Stefanik
Kristi Noem
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.
Nicole Shanahan
Tulsi Gabbard
Scott Alexander
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Aella
Jamie Dimon
George Clooney
Tom Hanks
Steven Pinker
Patrick Stewart
George R R Martin
Noah Smith
Matt Yglesias
Kanye West
Doug Burgum
Jeff Jackson
Glenn Youngkin
Tim Walz
John Fetterman
Barack Obama
Oprah Winfrey
Hillary Clinton
Joe Rogan
Ro Khanna
43
14
10
8
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
J.B. Pritzker
Gavin Newsom
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Pete Buttigieg
Jon Ossoff
Josh Shapiro
Kamala Harris
Cory Booker
Gretchen Whitmer
Amy Klobuchar
Chris Murphy
Raphael Warnock
Deval Patrick
Gina Raimondo
J. B. Pritzker
Steve Bullock
Mark Kelly
Andy Beshear
Ro Khanna
Maura Healey
Chris Coons
Jeff Jackson
Catherine Cortez Masto
Katie Hobbs
Tim Walz
Tina Kotek
Abigail Spanberger
Michael Bennet
Julián Castro
Beto O'Rourke
Bill de Blasio
Jay Inslee
Jared Polis
Roy Cooper
Martin O'Malley
Cornel West
Tom Steyer
Wayne Messam
Kirsten Gillibrand
Mitch Landrieu
Tammy Duckworth
Tammy Baldwin
Tim Kaine
Marianne Williamson
Eric Swalwell
Wes Moore
John Fetterman
Dean Phillips
Michelle Obama
Laphonza Butler
Tulsi Gabbard
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Steven Kenneth Bonnell II
66
50
42
33
30
25
23
18
16
10
9
9
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
OptionProbability
Joey Graziadei
Sutton Stracke
Cris Judd
Parvati Shallow
Anna Gasteyer
Alana Frances Thompson (aka Honey Boo-Boo)
Tom Sandoval
Suze Orman
Paris Hilton
Ronan Farrow
Jinx Monsoon
Walton Goggins
Luann de Lesseps
Zach King
Cole Escola
Luke Wilson
Marc Maron
Adam DeVine
Drew Barrymore
Jools Lebron
Elle King
Lynne Spears
Emma Chamberlain
Justine Bateman
Denise Richards
Camille Grammar
Scheana Shay
Michael Rapaport
Mike White
Sarah Silverman
Beanie Feldstein
Nicole Richie
Dita Von Teese
Jennifer Tilly
Jessica Gunning
Adam Lambert
Mira Sorvino
Danielle Brooks
Meg Tilly
Jason Bateman
Julie Chrisley
Daniel Stern
Drake Bell
Dixie D'Amelio
Jeanette McCurdy
Andrea Martin
Billy Bob Thornton
Andy Cohen
Christina Hendricks
Bowen Yang
Noah Cyrus
Raven Simone
Jean Smart
Kelly Ripa
Noah Schnapp
Nikki Blonsky from the movie "Hairspray"
Jussie Smollett
Mel Gibson
Jodie Foster
Savannah Chrisley
Mia Farrow
Owen Wilson
Victoria Beckham
Nancy Mace
---
Lil Nas X
James Carville
Prince Harry
Sharon Stone
Greg Kinnear
Geena Davis
Jeanine Pirro
Jesse Watters
Linda Evangelista
Richard Gere
Tina Fey
James Charles
Todd Chrisley
Jon Lovett
Ann Coulter
Eric Trump
Meghan Markle
Charlie Sheen
Monica Lewinsky
Pitbull
Hasan Piker
Soon-Yi Previn
Donna Brazile
Elon Musk
Bette Midler
David Beckham
Steve Carell
Woody Harrelson
Harry Sisson
Lady Gaga
Rachel Maddow
Joe Rogan
Sarah Palin
Tiffany Trump
RuPaul
James Woods
Ted Cruz
Ivanka Trump
Donald Trump Jr.
Katy Perry
Anthony Weiner
Kanye West
Hillary Clinton
Gypsy-Rose Blanchard
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Roger Stone
Roseanne Barr
Ariana Grande
Prince William
Woody Allen
George Santos
Donald Trump
Joe Biden
Kevin Spacey
JD Vance
Catherine O'Hara
Dolly Parton
100
50
50
50
50
41
38
37
37
37
36
36
36
34
34
34
34
33
32
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
30
29
28
28
28
28
27
27
26
26
26
26
26
25
25
25
25
25
24
24
24
22
22
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
19
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
17
17
17
17
17
16
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
10
10
10
9
9
8
6
5
5
4
1
0
OptionProbability
Jimmy Donaldson (Mr.Beast) (May 7, 1998)
Taylor Swift (Dec 13, 1989)
Dua Lipa (Aug 22, 1995)
Mark Zuckerberg (May 14, 1984)
Ed Sheeran (Feb 17, 1991)
Ariana Grande (Jun 26, 1993)
Shohei Ohtani (Jul 5, 1994)
Drake (Oct 24, 1986)
Sam Bankman-Fried (Mar 6, 1992)
Lionel Messi (Jun 24, 1987)
Cristiano Ronaldo (Feb 5, 1985)
Rihanna (Feb 20, 1988)
Patrick Mahomes (Sep 17, 1995)
Michael Phelps (Jun 30, 1985)
Travis Kelce (Oct 5, 1989)
Beyonce (Sep 4, 1981)
Rafael Nadal (Jun 3, 1986)
Lebron James (Dec 30, 1984)
Sam Altman (Apr 22, 1985)
Usain Bolt (Aug 21 1986)
Jeff Bezos (Jan 12, 1964)
Tom Brady (Aug 3, 1977)
Emmanuel Macron (Dec 21, 1977)
Serena Williams (Sep 26 1981)
Roger Federer (Aug 8, 1981)
Ketanji Brown Jackson (Sep 14, 1970)
Kamala Harris (Oct 20, 1964)
Christopher Nolan (Jul 30, 1970)
Hakeem Jeffries (Aug 4, 1970)
Satya Nadella (Aug 19, 1967)
Gavin Newsom (Oct 10, 1967)
Nikki Haley (Jan 20, 1972)
Larry Page (Mar 26, 1973)
Lil Wayne (Sep 27, 1982)
Elizabeth Holmes (Feb 3, 1984)
Will Smith (Sep 25, 1968)
Venus Williams (Jun 17, 1980)
Ron Desantis (Sep 14, 1978)
Neil Gorsuch (Aug 29, 1967)
Leonardo DiCaprio (Nov 11, 1974)
Shou Chew (Jan 1, 1983)
Ryan Reynolds (Oct 23, 1976)
Michelle Obama (Jan 17, 1964)
Tiger Woods (Dec 30, 1975)
Jensen Huang (Feb 17, 1963)
Britney Spears (Dec 2, 1981)
Amy Coney Barrett (Jan 28, 1972)
Jennifer Lopez (Jul 24, 1969)
Brad Pitt (Dec 18, 1963)
Brett Kavanaugh (Feb 12, 1965)
JK Rowling (Jul 31, 1965)
Elena Kagan (Apr 28, 1960)
Mike Pence (Jun 7, 1959)
Wayne Gretzsky (Jan 26, 1961)
Mary Barra (Dec 24, 1961)
Barack Obama (Aug 4, 1961)
Oprah Winfrey (Jan 29, 1954)
Eliezer Yudkowsky (Sep 11, 1979)
Quentin Tarantino (Mar 27, 1963)
John G. Roberts (Jan 27, 1955)
Ted Cruz (Dec 22, 1970)
Erdogan (Feb 26, 1954)
Volodymyr Zelensky (Jan 25, 1978)
Snoop Dogg (Oct 20, 1971)
Xi Jinping (Jun 15, 1953)
Samuel Alito (Apr 1, 1950)
Mohammed Bin Salman (Aug 31, 1985)
Sonia Sotomayor (Jun 25, 1954)
Benjamin Netanyahu (Oct 21, 1949)
Hillary Clinton (Oct 26, 1947)
Stephen King (Sep 21, 1947)
Geoffrey Hinton (Dec 6, 1947)
Kim Jong Un (Jan 8, 1984)
Elon Musk (Jun 28, 1971)
Bernard Arnault (Mar 5, 1949)
Steven Spielberg (Dec 18, 1946)
George W Bush (Jul 6, 1946)
Clarence Thomas (Jun 23, 1948)
Bill Clinton (Aug 19, 1946)
Michael Jordan (Feb 17, 1963)
Michael Bloomberg (Feb 14, 1942)
Paul McCartney (Jun 18, 1942)
Tom Hanks (Jul 9, 1956)
Bill Gates (Oct 28, 1955)
Donald Trump (Jun 14, 1946)
Vladimir Putin (Oct 7, 1952)
Jill Biden (Jun 3, 1951)
Martin Scorsese (Nov 17, 1942)
Rudy Giuliani (May 28, 1944)
Nancy Pelosi (Mar 26, 1940)
Joe Biden (Nov 20, 1942)
Mitch McConnell (Feb 20, 1942)
Warren Buffet (Aug 30, 1930)
King Charles (Nov 14, 1948)
Mel brooks (Jun 28, 1926)
Dick Van Dyke (Dec 13, 1925)
Chuck Norris (Mar 10, 1940)
Ali Khamenei (Apr 19, 1939)
Jimmy Carter (Oct 1, 1924)
Yahya Sinwar (Oct 29 1962)
Bernie Madoff
James Earl Jones (Jan 17, 1931)
96
93
91
89
89
86
85
81
80
80
80
79
77
77
76
74
74
74
73
72
71
69
69
69
69
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
68
67
66
63
62
62
61
59
59
58
57
56
55
55
55
54
54
53
53
53
53
49
48
45
43
42
41
39
38
37
36
36
35
33
32
32
32
31
30
30
30
29
28
28
27
27
26
24
21
21
18
16
16
14
13
11
10
10
9
8
6
6
5
4
3
2
1
1
OptionProbability
Mercedes
Mclaren
Ferrari
Red Bull
Aston Martin
Alpine
Williams
Haas
Sauber
Racing Bulls
Cadillac
Other
98
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Mercedes
Redbull racing
Ferrari
Mclaren
Aston Martin
Audi
Cadillac
Williams
Racing bulls
Haas
Alpine
98
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Raytheon / RTX
Boeing
OAN
Lockheed Martin
ExxonMobil
Northrop Grumman
General Dynamics
Palantir
Chevron
Newsmax
SpaceX
CNN
TikTok
The Washington Post
27
24
23
21
20
20
20
17
15
14
10
10
7
6
OptionProbability
Palantir
Other
OpenAI
Tesla
Lockheed Martin
Boeing
Mistral AI
Shield AI
Deepmind
Inflection
Alibaba Group
EluetherAI
Waymo
Raytheon Technologies
Anthropic
Meta
Databricks
42
19
9
8
5
5
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Thorn of Emberlain - Scott Lynch
Winds of Winter - GRR Martin
Doors of Stone - Patrick Rothfuss
70
21
10
OptionProbability
Nick Bostrom
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Benjamin Netanyahu
JD Vance
Pope Leo XIV
Paul McCartney
Robert Plant
Jimmy Page
Brian May
Roger Taylor (Queen drummer)
Bill Wyman
Vladimir Putin
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Iggy Pop
John Lydon
Naruhito
Curtis Yarvin
Mick Jagger
Keith Richards
Ringo Starr
John Paul Jones (musician)
John Deacon
Ray Kurzweil
Paul R. Ehrlich
Charles III
14th Dalai Lama
Martin Richards (computer scientist)
Ken Thompson
Bjarne Stroustrup
Valentina Tereshkova
George Takei
Donald Trump
Joe Biden
William Shatner
Noam Chomsky
Chuck Norris
Walter Koenig
85
72
71
71
64
57
57
57
57
57
57
57
57
57
57
57
57
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
41
34
34
34
24
1
1
OptionProbability
He'll leave F1 without driving for another team
Mercedes
Aston Martin
McLaren
Audi/Sauber
Alpine
Haas
Williams
Ferrari
Cadillac
Other
Racing Bulls
32
28
14
8
6
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
