OptionVotes
YES
NO
7335
4553
OptionProbability
Task 2 will be achieved (understand novels)
Task 1 will be achieved (understand a movie)
Task 3 will be achieved (write biographies)
Task 6 will be achieved (write 10k lines of code)
Task 10 will be achieved (write formally verifiable proofs)
Task 5 will be achieved (write legal briefs)
Task 4 will be achieved (video gaming)
Task 9 will be achieved (Nobel level science)
Task 8 will be achieved (write Oscar level screenplays)
Task 7 will be achieved (write Pulitzer calibre books)
The bet will be annulled
Miles will win the bet
Miles will win the bet by the end of 2026
Miles will win the bet by the end of 2025
86
80
76
72
65
55
53
51
35
31
27
10
4
452
202