OptionVotes
YES
NO
6530
4748
OptionProbability
Task 2 will be achieved (understand novels)
Task 6 will be achieved (write 10k lines of code)
Task 1 will be achieved (understand a movie)
Task 3 will be achieved (write biographies)
Task 10 will be achieved (write formally verifiable proofs)
Task 5 will be achieved (write legal briefs)
Task 4 will be achieved (video gaming)
Task 9 will be achieved (Nobel level science)
Task 8 will be achieved (write Oscar level screenplays)
The bet will be annulled
Task 7 will be achieved (write Pulitzer calibre books)
Miles will win the bet
Miles will win the bet by the end of 2026
Miles will win the bet by the end of 2025
88
83
78
74
72
65
45
28
26
25
23
14
6
1