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Prediction markets for Mills

Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 6:33 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

46.08%chance

242199075

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1220

1032

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32%chance

22099359

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4809

127

2026 Democratic nominee for US Senate in Maine?

Aug 19, 8:24 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

8292091

OptionProbability

Graham Platner

Janet Mills

Other

Ryan Fecteau

Cathy Breen

Aaron Frey

Jordan Wood

62

37

1

0

0

0

0

Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 8:20 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

26.23%chance

9231249

OptionVotes

NO

YES

969

966

Will global iron + steel slag output exceed 600 million tonnes in 2030?

Nov 26, 5:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.05%chance

916287

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13949

7169

Will Huawei ship at least one million 910C chips in 2026?

Dec 12, 3:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41%chance

228785

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11996

8336

Will Lean mathlib contain more than 10 million lines of code by 2030?

Jan 1, 2:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.3%chance

348451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14345

6971

Who will endorse Graham Platner(yes) or Janet Mills(no) in the 2026 Maine senate Democratic primary?

Dec 11, 11:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7936

OptionProbability

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Chris Van Hollen

Ilhan Omar

Chris Murphy

Pete Buttigieg

Rahm Emanuel

Barack Obama

Kamala Harris

J B Pritzker

Gavin Newsom

Hillary Clinton

Josh Shapiro

John Fetterman

72

68

65

61

35

31

31

28

28

22

20

14

3

If Janet Mills is the democratic nominee, will she win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Oct 23, 8:21 PMNov 1, 11:59 PM

70.82%chance

11397

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

64

Graham Platner and Janet Mills top 2 candidates in Maine Senate Primary?

Dec 4, 10:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.32%chance

597

OptionVotes

NO

YES

197

84

Will Meek Mill raise $10 million or more for an AI company by the end of 2026?

Sep 9, 7:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.44%chance

474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

79

Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap be proven?

Sep 8, 9:10 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

62.47%chance

365

OptionVotes

NO

YES

174

114

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