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Prediction markets for Milner

Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 7:12 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

72.55%chance

251885

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1481

722

⚽Will James Milner become a player with the most Premier League games?

Jan 2, 11:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

99%chance

3745

OptionVotes

NO

YES

497

5

⚽Will James Milner become a player with the most Premier League games?

Jan 2, 11:51 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

99%chance

5664

OptionVotes

NO

YES

497

5

⚽Will James Milner become a player with the most Premier League games?

Jan 2, 11:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

99%chance

2487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

497

5

Will cryonics or brain-emulation research get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 4:04 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

39.03%chance

15395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1072

946

Will civilizational-preservation bunkers get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 30, 6:42 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

62.04%chance

9328

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

182

Will wild-animal welfare interventions get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 29, 2:14 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

72.85%chance

12265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

354

219

Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Nov 1, 7:46 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

70.23%chance

16261

OptionVotes

NO

YES

994

994

Will climate geoengineering get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 30, 7:29 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

66.48%chance

10195

OptionVotes

NO

YES

362

198

Will stable-totalitarianism prevention get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 2:30 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

53.7%chance

7130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

227

221

Will Georgism (aka land value taxes) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 30, 6:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

29.01%chance

669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

242

153

Will mitigation of AI propaganda & "botpocalypse" concerns get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Nov 1, 9:04 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

59.64%chance

643

OptionVotes

NO

YES

223

191

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