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Prediction markets for Min

EOY 2030, how difficult will it be to get gender affirming care (puberty blockers, HRT) for a minor in California?

Jan 22, 7:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47106751

OptionProbability

About the same as in 2024

Notably more difficult than in 2024

Notably easier than in 2024

Virtually impossible

39

29

23

9

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?

Jun 9, 2:12 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

60.65%chance

4765967

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130486

84436

Will president Trump mint the coin at any point during his administration?

Feb 27, 4:46 AMJan 20, 2:59 AM

7.22%chance

8256327

OptionVotes

YES

NO

35855

2789

Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?

Dec 7, 7:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.25%chance

2813871

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10674

9369

MindWaves Stock

Oct 30, 12:04 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

12713208

OptionProbability

YES

NO

3176

1665

Will Indonesia's cobalt mine production exceed 55,000 tonnes in 2026?

Mar 21, 2:23 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

66.4%chance

65119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14058

7113

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Dec 2026?

Jun 9, 2:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.72%chance

54859

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10466

9555

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

39.13%chance

74647

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12472

8018

"Will AOH1996 boost 5yr survival >35% for min. 2 of these cancers: brain, lung, cervical, ovarian?"

Aug 3, 3:48 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

22.44%chance

434268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

972

In 2028, Will a >5 min video completely generated by an AI have more than 1 billion views on Youtube?

Sep 26, 1:10 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

43.42%chance

441839

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1169

687

3+min long YouTube video of Alexey Guzey OR Jose Luis Ricon OR Lucas Chu OR Sigil Wen dancing Gangnam Style by EOY2027

Feb 2, 2:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Is JOSE LUIS RICON Min-maxxing?

Feb 15, 4:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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