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Prediction markets for Min

Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 2025 (less strict criteria market)

Jul 2, 8:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.7%chance

21477630

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4631

2534

Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 2025 that win film festival awards [See link to better qu]

Mar 28, 9:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.18%chance

10728934

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4039

1127

AI will generate coherent 5-min films by the end of 2025

Sep 23, 10:43 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

67.4%chance

9322492

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

975

Will I run a sub-45 min 10k by the end of this year?

Jan 16, 4:54 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

12.63%chance

136162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7201

570

Will I manage to achieve a sub-45 min 10k before @diadematus and 2026?

Jan 21, 7:40 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

80.34%chance

84691

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2022

495

"Will AOH1996 boost 5yr survival >35% for min. 2 of these cancers: brain, lung, cervical, ovarian?"

Aug 3, 3:48 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

19.35%chance

434113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1154

931

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

47.66%chance

52539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10480

9542

In 2028, Will a >5 min video completely generated by an AI have more than 1 billion views on Youtube?

Sep 26, 1:10 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

29.53%chance

381431

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1042

969

Will I run a sub 25 min 5k in 2025?

Jan 3, 4:05 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

99.02%chance

111118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1005

10

Will Min Aung Hlaing or his military successor cease to be the leader of Myanmar before October 1st, 2025?

Dec 19, 2:53 PMOct 2, 9:59 PM

40.98%chance

4324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

3+min long YouTube video of Alexey Guzey OR Jose Luis Ricon OR Lucas Chu OR Sigil Wen dancing Gangnam Style by EOY2027

Feb 2, 2:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Is JOSE LUIS RICON Min-maxxing?

Feb 15, 4:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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