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Top stories

Iowa Republican Joni Ernst Will Not Seek Senate Re-election in 2026

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Authors

5

1 year ago

Bannon Rips GOP Leaders Over Reported $58 Billion Ukraine Aid Push

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1 year ago

Prediction markets for Mitch McConnell

Will Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?

Jul 28, 2:56 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM

81.56%chance

19937991

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2801

299

Will Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027?

Jul 27, 7:24 PMJan 5, 4:59 AM

18.13%chance

13835823

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2017

202

Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?

Jul 14, 1:13 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

3.51%chance

6119983

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5246

191

Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden?

Jan 26, 12:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.23%chance

11812752

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1333

537

Is Mitch McConnell wife (Elaine Chao) up to no good?

Jul 5, 3:01 AMJul 1, 3:00 AM

5.93%chance

228521

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3981

251

If Mitch McConnell vacates his senate seat before the term ends, will Andy Beshear appoint a Democrat to the seat?

Jul 3, 8:28 PMJan 3, 11:59 PM

42.02%chance

317442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1175

851

Is Mitch McConnell on life support and/or brain dead?

Jul 31, 2:18 AMFeb 1, 3:17 AM

7.35%chance

226924

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3550

282

Mitch McConnell alive all of October 2026?

Aug 15, 12:05 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

93.25%chance

245553

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3716

269

Was Mitch Mcconnell "'Frozen' By The Deep State."?

Aug 9, 3:01 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4.93%chance

251788

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2345

862

On which days will Mitch McConnell be alive

Jul 6, 9:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

251198

OptionProbability

July 17, 2026

August 1, 2026

November 3, 2026

January 3, 2027

September 20, 2028

January 20, 2029

100

100

89

79

50

12

Will Mitch McConnell have another absent seizure on live tv and be removed from office?

Oct 11, 12:36 AMJan 22, 6:59 AM

8.09%chance

181126

OptionVotes

YES

NO

495

115

Mitch McConnell alive all of December 2026?

Sep 23, 12:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.07%chance

328

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

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