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Mitch McConnell News

    Prediction markets for Mitch McConnell

    When will Mitch McConnell retire?

    Oct 9, 3:35 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
    6517097

    OptionProbability

    2026

    He will leave politics in some other fashion.

    Later

    2024

    2023

    2025

    Other

    77

    16

    6

    1

    0

    0

    0

    Will Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?

    Jul 28, 2:56 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM
    53.66%chance
    1049418

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1822

    743

    Which celebrity will die last in chronological order

    Mar 19, 2:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    338098

    OptionProbability

    Jimmy Donaldson (Mr.Beast) (May 7, 1998)

    Taylor Swift (Dec 13, 1989)

    Dua Lipa (Aug 22, 1995)

    Ed Sheeran (Feb 17, 1991)

    Mark Zuckerberg (May 14, 1984)

    Ariana Grande (Jun 26, 1993)

    Shohei Ohtani (Jul 5, 1994)

    Drake (Oct 24, 1986)

    Sam Bankman-Fried (Mar 6, 1992)

    Lionel Messi (Jun 24, 1987)

    Cristiano Ronaldo (Feb 5, 1985)

    Rihanna (Feb 20, 1988)

    Patrick Mahomes (Sep 17, 1995)

    Travis Kelce (Oct 5, 1989)

    Michael Phelps (Jun 30, 1985)

    Usain Bolt (Aug 21 1986)

    Beyonce (Sep 4, 1981)

    Rafael Nadal (Jun 3, 1986)

    Lebron James (Dec 30, 1984)

    Serena Williams (Sep 26 1981)

    Sam Altman (Apr 22, 1985)

    Lil Wayne (Sep 27, 1982)

    Elizabeth Holmes (Feb 3, 1984)

    Tom Brady (Aug 3, 1977)

    Emmanuel Macron (Dec 21, 1977)

    Venus Williams (Jun 17, 1980)

    Roger Federer (Aug 8, 1981)

    Will Smith (Sep 25, 1968)

    Jeff Bezos (Jan 12, 1964)

    Shou Chew (Jan 1, 1983)

    Britney Spears (Dec 2, 1981)

    Neil Gorsuch (Aug 29, 1967)

    Leonardo DiCaprio (Nov 11, 1974)

    Ron Desantis (Sep 14, 1978)

    Ryan Reynolds (Oct 23, 1976)

    Ketanji Brown Jackson (Sep 14, 1970)

    Kamala Harris (Oct 20, 1964)

    Christopher Nolan (Jul 30, 1970)

    Hakeem Jeffries (Aug 4, 1970)

    Satya Nadella (Aug 19, 1967)

    Gavin Newsom (Oct 10, 1967)

    Nikki Haley (Jan 20, 1972)

    Tiger Woods (Dec 30, 1975)

    Larry Page (Mar 26, 1973)

    Michelle Obama (Jan 17, 1964)

    Amy Coney Barrett (Jan 28, 1972)

    Brad Pitt (Dec 18, 1963)

    Jennifer Lopez (Jul 24, 1969)

    Oprah Winfrey (Jan 29, 1954)

    Jensen Huang (Feb 17, 1963)

    Brett Kavanaugh (Feb 12, 1965)

    Eliezer Yudkowsky (Sep 11, 1979)

    Erdogan (Feb 26, 1954)

    JK Rowling (Jul 31, 1965)

    Chuck Norris (Mar 10, 1940)

    Elena Kagan (Apr 28, 1960)

    Mike Pence (Jun 7, 1959)

    Wayne Gretzsky (Jan 26, 1961)

    Mary Barra (Dec 24, 1961)

    John G. Roberts (Jan 27, 1955)

    Barack Obama (Aug 4, 1961)

    Snoop Dogg (Oct 20, 1971)

    Xi Jinping (Jun 15, 1953)

    Clarence Thomas (Jun 23, 1948)

    Sonia Sotomayor (Jun 25, 1954)

    Samuel Alito (Apr 1, 1950)

    Elon Musk (Jun 28, 1971)

    Geoffrey Hinton (Dec 6, 1947)

    Kim Jong Un (Jan 8, 1984)

    Quentin Tarantino (Mar 27, 1963)

    Bernard Arnault (Mar 5, 1949)

    Mohammed Bin Salman (Aug 31, 1985)

    George W Bush (Jul 6, 1946)

    Benjamin Netanyahu (Oct 21, 1949)

    Volodymyr Zelensky (Jan 25, 1978)

    Ted Cruz (Dec 22, 1970)

    Hillary Clinton (Oct 26, 1947)

    Bill Clinton (Aug 19, 1946)

    Stephen King (Sep 21, 1947)

    Steven Spielberg (Dec 18, 1946)

    Michael Jordan (Feb 17, 1963)

    Paul McCartney (Jun 18, 1942)

    Michael Bloomberg (Feb 14, 1942)

    Tom Hanks (Jul 9, 1956)

    Bill Gates (Oct 28, 1955)

    Donald Trump (Jun 14, 1946)

    Vladimir Putin (Oct 7, 1952)

    Mitch McConnell (Feb 20, 1942)

    Jill Biden (Jun 3, 1951)

    Rudy Giuliani (May 28, 1944)

    Martin Scorsese (Nov 17, 1942)

    Joe Biden (Nov 20, 1942)

    Nancy Pelosi (Mar 26, 1940)

    King Charles (Nov 14, 1948)

    Warren Buffet (Aug 30, 1930)

    Ali Khamenei (Apr 19, 1939)

    Mel brooks (Jun 28, 1926)

    Dick Van Dyke (Dec 13, 1925)

    Jimmy Carter (Oct 1, 1924)

    Yahya Sinwar (Oct 29 1962)

    Bernie Madoff

    James Earl Jones (Jan 17, 1931)

    93

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    76

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    63

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    60

    60

    58

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    55

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    43

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    36

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    30

    27

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    26

    25

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    24

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    23

    23

    23

    22

    22

    21

    20

    20

    19

    17

    17

    14

    13

    13

    12

    10

    10

    8

    8

    7

    6

    6

    5

    5

    3

    2

    1

    1

    Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden?

    Jan 26, 12:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    61.07%chance
    856717

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1256

    644

    Mitch McConnell stock

    Apr 9, 8:28 AMApr 10, 3:59 AM
    235429

    OptionProbability

    NO

    YES

    458

    262

    Will Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027?

    Jul 27, 7:24 PMJan 5, 4:59 AM
    38%chance
    383415

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1468

    408

    Who will be the last 20th century US Senator?

    May 10, 12:34 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    82930

    OptionProbability

    Patty Murray (1993)

    Ron Wyden (1996)

    Mike Crapo (1999)

    Chuck Schumer (1999)

    Susan Collins (1997)

    Jack Reed (1997)

    Chuck Grassley (1981)

    Dick Durbin (1997)

    Mitch McConnell (1985)

    26

    17

    16

    15

    12

    9

    3

    1

    1

    Will Rep. Thomas Massie run for and win Mitch McConnell's vacant senate seat in the 2026 Midterms?

    Mar 2, 2:46 AMNov 5, 7:59 AM
    17.22%chance
    71572

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2192

    456

    Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀

    Aug 26, 3:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    33779

    OptionProbability

    John Roberts

    Bernie Sanders

    Kay Ivey

    Clarence Thomas

    Sonya Sotomayor

    Chuck Grassley

    Samuel Alito

    Angus King

    Donald Trump

    Mitch McConnell

    Nancy Pelosi

    37

    36

    35

    34

    31

    29

    29

    20

    16

    6

    4

    Was Mitch Mcconnell "'Frozen' By The Deep State."?

    Aug 9, 3:01 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    8.91%chance
    22733

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1345

    932

    Will Mitch McConnell have another absent seizure on live tv and be removed from office?

    Oct 11, 12:36 AMJan 22, 6:59 AM
    10.91%chance
    11481

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    390

    126

    Will Mitch McConnell die in 2026?

    Feb 4, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    21.17%chance
    13285

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    193

    52

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