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Morales News

Will wild-animal suffering be a mainstream moral issue by the beginning of 2100?

Mar 26, 1:03 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

50.66%chance

351469

OptionVotes

NO

YES

997

978

Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2050?

Jan 10, 6:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

70.45%chance

381457

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1231

871

Will a quarter of Americans morally accept polygamy in 2026, according to Gallup?

Jul 29, 4:27 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

6.4%chance

13684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

382

26

Will abortion be more morally acceptable among Americans in 2026 than in 2025, according to Gallup?

Jul 29, 4:28 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

63%chance

22592

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2040?

Jan 10, 6:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.37%chance

26576

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1147

821

Wild-animal suffering will be a mainstream moral issue by 2100, conditional on biological humans still existing

Jan 29, 5:14 AMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

55.22%chance

22530

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1069

931

Will Michigan HB 4938 (“Anticorruption of Public Morals Act”) become law with its VPN ban intact by the end of 2026?

Nov 23, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.35%chance

3515

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1515

660

Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2075?

Jan 10, 6:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

74.67%chance

25505

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

929

Will "Morale" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Apr 14, 6:40 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.3%chance

3265

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1137

979

Am I worthy of moral consideration [Convince the Machine #5]

May 4, 5:43 AMMay 18, 5:43 AM

44.43%chance

17237

OptionVotes

NO

YES

635

553

There will be a major morality scandal around a top English language pingpong announcer before 2041

May 5, 4:39 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

45.98%chance

787

OptionVotes

NO

YES

134

123

Will "Schelling Goodness, and Shared Morality as a Goal" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Mar 3, 11:39 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.65%chance

254

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1026

996

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