Morales News
Prediction markets for Morales
Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2050?
Jan 10, 6:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
70.45%chance
381457
OptionVotes
1231
871
Will wild-animal suffering be a mainstream moral issue by the beginning of 2100?
Mar 26, 1:03 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
53.29%chance
351419
OptionVotes
1051
928
What donation-accepting entity (e.g., charity) would it be morally best to transfer $20 under the coherent extrapolation of my (Aaron Bergman's) values, all things considered?
Feb 6, 4:25 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
221270
OptionProbability
14
14
13
13
10
8
7
6
4
3
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will a quarter of Americans morally accept polygamy in 2026, according to Gallup?
Jul 29, 4:27 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM
2.06%chance
11656
OptionVotes
689
15
Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2040?
Jan 10, 6:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
50.37%chance
26576
OptionVotes
1147
821
Wild-animal suffering will be a mainstream moral issue by 2100, conditional on biological humans still existing
Jan 29, 5:14 AMFeb 2, 7:59 AM
55.22%chance
22530
OptionVotes
1069
931
Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2075?
Jan 10, 6:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
74.2%chance
24485
OptionVotes
1134
936
Will abortion be more morally acceptable among Americans in 2026 than in 2025, according to Gallup?
Jul 29, 4:28 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM
85.52%chance
14327
OptionVotes
243
41
There will be a major morality scandal around a top English language pingpong announcer before 2041
May 5, 4:39 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
45.98%chance
787
OptionVotes
134
123