OptionProbability
Angela Rayner
Nigel Farage
Kemi Badenoch
Andy Burnham
Ed Milliband
Wes Streeting
Shabana Mahmood
Zack Polanski
Other
Yvette Cooper
Al Carns
Lisa Nandy
David Lammy
James Cleverly
Robert Jenrick
Emily Thornberry
Jess Phillips
Stephen Kinnock
Rachel Reeves
Ed Davey
Jeremy Hunt
Rishi Sunak
Ben Wallace
Rosena Allin-Khan
Keir Starmer
Penny Mordaunt
Suella Braverman
Rebecca Long-Bailey
Someone Else
Clive Lewis
Diane Abbott
John McDonnell
Dan Jarvis
Barry Gardiner
Ian Lavery
Michael Gove
Sajid Javid
Brandon Lewis
Grant Shapps
Tom Tugendhat
Boris Johnson
Theresa May
Andrea Leadsom
Stephen Crabb
Liam Fox
Nadhim Zahawi
Priti Patel
Angela Eagle
Hilary Benn
Jacob Rees-Mogg
Michelle Donelan
Johnny Mercer
Niko Omilana
Jeremy Corbyn
16
15
9
8
7
5
3
2
1
0
Chancellor after the next general election is not a member of Reform
Richard Tice
Zia Yusuf
Rupert Lowe
58
10
