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Prediction markets for Nathan

Nathan Stock (Permanent)

Nov 12, 4:29 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

7334893

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1402

1057

Will Ghent fire Nathan Cofnas before 2028?

Aug 20, 6:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.59%chance

3715489

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1705

586

By 2040, will Nathan Young (twitter handle @NathanpmYoung) become Prime Minister?

Nov 20, 11:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.89%chance

618678

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4007

1484

Will Nathan Fielder die in an airplane or helicopter crash?

May 26, 9:19 PMMay 27, 9:19 PM

1.38%chance

111551

OptionVotes

YES

NO

845

12

Which of these are major culture war topics in 2029? (Inspired by Nathan Young)

Mar 11, 4:12 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

10264

OptionProbability

AI (including AI safety, AI ethics, e/acc)

Culture war. Culture war never changes. (I.E. it's still the same main stuff as in March 2024)

Artificial wombs

Eugenics

Polyamory

Child labor

66

45

31

25

24

24

Will Destiny's son Nathan finish college?

May 2, 6:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.4%chance

8173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

203

49

When will Season 3 of Nathan Fielder's The Rehearsal be released?

Apr 27, 1:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3141

OptionProbability

Before 2030

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

83

65

50

17

Will at least 2 of Myself, Nathan young and Stefan Schubert be gainfully employed on Jan 1st 2035?

Jan 20, 7:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.26%chance

275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

975

Nathan Fielder does a documentary on another scammer besides Elizabeth Holmes before 2029?

Sep 7, 1:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.09%chance

353

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

90

Will Nathan Cheng outlive Lada Nuzhna?

Aug 28, 7:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will Nathan Cheng outlive Robert Shekoyan? (BS Harvard, Aevitas House)

Aug 28, 8:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Nathan Cheng outlive Genesis Lung?

Aug 28, 7:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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