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Prediction markets for Nathan

Nathan Stock (Permanent)

Nov 12, 4:29 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

7334893

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1402

1057

By 2040, will Nathan Young (twitter handle @NathanpmYoung) become Prime Minister?

Nov 20, 11:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.82%chance

618579

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4106

1481

Will Nathan Fielder die in an airplane or helicopter crash?

May 26, 9:19 PMMay 27, 9:19 PM

1.38%chance

111551

OptionVotes

YES

NO

845

12

What will be true of the first person to marry Nathan Young?

Jun 20, 7:55 PMApr 21, 6:59 AM

15333

OptionProbability

Woman

5'2" or taller

5'4" or taller

wears contact lenses/glasses

Owns a dog at time of meeting him

American citizen

Blood Type O

Born in the United States

Red Haired

has a phd or masters degree or higher

5'8" or taller

diabetic

European citizen

Libra or Cancer

6'0" or taller

voted for trump

Bald

89

80

74

57

50

50

49

45

37

37

31

31

28

25

10

8

8

Which of these are major culture war topics in 2029? (Inspired by Nathan Young)

Mar 11, 4:12 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

10264

OptionProbability

AI (including AI safety, AI ethics, e/acc)

Culture war. Culture war never changes. (I.E. it's still the same main stuff as in March 2024)

Artificial wombs

Eugenics

Polyamory

Child labor

66

45

31

25

24

24

Judge Richard Berman & Alison Nathan alive in 2029?

Jul 27, 10:48 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

87.21%chance

3181

OptionVotes

NO

YES

261

38

Will at least 2 of Myself, Nathan young and Stefan Schubert be gainfully employed on Jan 1st 2035?

Jan 20, 7:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.26%chance

275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

975

Will Nathan Cheng outlive Bryan Johnson

Aug 28, 7:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Nathan Cheng outlive Alex Trapp?

Aug 28, 7:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Nathan Cheng outlive Jenvel Pei (of Ageless Civilization)?

Aug 28, 7:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Nathan Cheng outlive Sam Altman?

Aug 28, 7:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Nathan cheng outlive ada Nguyen

Jul 31, 9:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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