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Prediction markets for Neals

Koibu Stock (Permanent)

Nov 12, 9:28 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

9522591

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1995

896

(Add Answers) Which political figures/World leaders will pass before the end of 2026?

Dec 24, 11:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

171225

OptionProbability

George Ariyoshi

Frank J. Guarini

Kay Granger

Ali Khamenei

Bajrakitiyabha

Jesse Jackson

Barney Frank

Neal Dunn

Paul Biya

Mitch McConnell

Ben Sasse

Lech Wałęsa

Imelda Marcos

Jean Chrétien

Douglas Hurd

Harald V of Norway

Dennis Skinner

Michiko

Akihito

Wes Uhlman

Joseph Estrada

Paul Keating

King Charles III

Clint Eastwood

Joe Biden

Bill Clinton

Chuck Grassley

Donald Trump

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

67

50

42

38

38

29

27

27

26

26

25

24

24

24

22

22

18

12

8

7

5

Will Neal Stephenson publish a novel in which AI is a crucial plot element by the end of 2026?

Mar 29, 2:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.71%chance

12941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

864

47

Which book similar to The three body problem and Children of Time will I like best.

Mar 27, 7:53 PMJul 8, 9:59 PM

15650

OptionProbability

Red Mars by Kim Stanley Robinson

Project Hail Mary by Andy Weir

Diaspora by Greg Egan

Blindsight by Peter Watts

Anathem by Neal Stephenson

Foundation by Isaac Asimov

Seveneves by Neal Stephenson

Other

Semiosis by Sue Burke

The Martian by Andy Weir

Dark Eden by Chris Beckett

The Years of Rice and Salt by Kim Stanley Robinson

Evolution by Stephen Baxter

Children of Ruin by Adrian Tchaikovsky

Lockstep by Karl Schroeder

25

12

10

9

8

8

7

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

Will Mitch McConnell outlive Neal Dunn?

Aug 4, 4:42 AMAug 4, 4:42 AM

31.44%chance

5169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

68

Will Nanotechnology Enable the Widespread Use of Diamond and/or Diamondoid Materials in Large Scale Structures by 2050?

Nov 19, 1:09 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.92%chance

6126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

176

157

Will a Metaverse Similar to Neal Stephenson's 'Snow Crash' Become a Mainstream Reality by 2050?

Nov 19, 1:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.88%chance

3122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

218

67

Will Nanotechnology Enable the Creation of Self-Assembling or Morphing Consumer Products Commonplace by 2050?

Nov 19, 1:28 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.4%chance

551

OptionVotes

YES

NO

83

58

2026 AFL trade, draft and free agency prop bets

May 18, 7:50 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

234

OptionProbability

Zach Merrett goes to Hawthorn

Lachie Neale goes to West Coast

Zak Butters goes to the Bulldogs

Toby Greene goes to Geelong

59

41

34

29

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