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Top stories

Judge Orders New Trials for 3 Ex-Memphis Officers in Tyre Nichols Case

Judge Orders New Trials for 3 Ex-Memphis Officers in Tyre Nichols Case

Authors

12

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Nichols

In which year will Nassim Nicholas Taleb publish his next book

Jun 15, 4:05 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

525990

OptionProbability

2026-2027

2027-2028

2028-2029

2029-2030

2030-2031

2024-2025

2025-2026

2031-2032

2032-2033

2033-2034

2034-2035

36

19

12

7

5

4

4

4

4

4

4

Nicholas Decker begins feminizing hormone therapy before July 2026?

Aug 21, 4:16 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

6.66%chance

199834

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3749

268

Who will be the next person to land on the moon?

Feb 9, 4:47 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

151252

OptionProbability

Other

Jing Haipeng

Tang Hongbo

Zhang Lu

Stephanie Wilson

Ye Guangfu

Cai Xuzhe

Andre Douglas

Kayla Barron

Chen Dong

Jasmin Moghbeli

Jenni Gibbons

Nicole A. Mann

Jonny Kim

Elon Musk

Kate Rubins

Jessica Watkins

Scott Tingle

Frank Rubio

Jessica Meir

Anne McClain

Kjell Lindgren

Christina H. Koch

Warren Hoburg

Victor Glover

Matthew Dominick

Raja Chari

Joseph Acaba

Wang Yaping

Liu Yang

Zhai Zhigang

Nichole Ayers

Jessica Wittner

@121

Jeffery Bezos

Mark Zuckerberg

Other

15

9

8

8

6

6

6

5

4

4

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

Will Nicholas Decker (the GMU student) end up marrying an intl and greencarding them into US by EOY2027?

May 22, 9:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.06%chance

3170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

270

37

Will Nicholas Decker and aella have sex by 2031

Jun 12, 6:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.36%chance

5115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

Will Nicholas Bagamian (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 28, 2:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.68%chance

483

OptionVotes

YES

NO

193

78

Last Longer: Eastwood Vs Nicholson

Jun 12, 9:25 AMJun 19, 9:25 AM

50%chance

470

OptionVotes

NO

YES

116

103

Will Nicholas Decker get someone pregnant by EOY2033?

Jul 5, 10:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.98%chance

243

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

80

Sam Foster wins Marietta, Georgia mayoral election?

Oct 22, 11:35 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will janus or Nicholas Kees Dupuis end up hyperstitioning Jose Luis Ricon?

Aug 21, 3:58 PM

30

Who is FUNNIER: Nicholas Decker or Theo jaffe?

Sep 26, 2:43 AM

30

Will Nicholas Dogris, Tiffany Thompson, or anyone from the school of neurotherapy come to sensoria.events in 2026?

Sep 27, 10:00 PM

00

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
US Judiciary
Politics
Judge Orders New Trials for 3 Ex-Memphis Officers in Tyre Nichols Case
Authors
12
7 months ago

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