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Top stories

Prosecutors Found Evidence James Comey Authorized Classified Leaks Before 2016 Election but Declined Charges

Prosecutors Found Evidence James Comey Authorized Classified Leaks Before 2016 Election but Declined Charges

Authors

12

1 year ago

Trump Administration Deports Over 332,000 Migrants in 2025, Halts Medicaid, Seals African Deportation Deal

US Domestic Policy

Trump Administration Deports Over 332,000 Migrants in 2025, Halts Medicaid, Seals African Deportation Deal

Authors

8

1 year ago

Migrant-Smuggling Defendant Seeks Gag Order on Noem, Bondi

Migrant-Smuggling Defendant Seeks Gag Order on Noem, Bondi

Authors

5

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

Pentagon to Complete Investigation Into 2021 Afghanistan Withdrawal That Killed 13 by Mid-2026, Trump and Gold Star Families Involved

Authors

8

1 year ago

Daley, LaHood Lead Illinois Ballot Drive to Shift Redistricting to 12-Member Panel

Authors

12

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

Trump Administration Enforces English Proficiency Rule for Truck Drivers Amid Judicial Watch Probe, Backed by Secretary Duffy and Drivers

Authors

7

1 year ago

US Domestic Policy

Zeldin Says EPA Scraps $29 Billion in Green Energy Grants Amid Fraud Probe

Authors

5

1 year ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Says Obama 'Gave Away' Crimea in 2014 Fox Interview

Authors

13

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Obama

Will Michelle Obama ever become the President of the USA?

Jul 22, 10:55 AMNov 1, 10:59 PM

3.55%chance

307574

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5215

192

Will (any) Trump run against (any) Obama in the 2028 presidential election?

Mar 31, 3:58 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM

1.8%chance

106846

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7394

135

Obamas get divorced or separated by mid 2030

Feb 10, 10:38 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

8.86%chance

316479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3208

312

Will Michelle Obama outlive Laura Bush?

Apr 16, 3:25 AMMar 23, 3:59 AM

93.02%chance

234913

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2807

735

Will Barack Obama be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Mar 23, 7:21 PMMar 30, 7:21 PM

43.77%chance

634864

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2366

1634

If term limits are repealed, will Barack Obama run for president in 2028?

Nov 8, 2:31 AMNov 7, 4:59 AM

25.4%chance

113015

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1714

584

Will Obama be formally associated with Anthropic before 2030?

May 23, 1:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.11%chance

132059

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3098

407

Will George W Bush outlive Obama?

Mar 22, 12:25 PMMar 23, 3:59 AM

11.6%chance

372056

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2138

700

Will Obama attend Trump's funeral?

May 2, 5:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.2%chance

331534

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2008

1940

Will Barack Obama outlive Angela Merkel?

Mar 22, 3:02 PMMar 23, 3:59 AM

66%chance

31740

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1243

805

Will "Was Barack Obama still serving as president i..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 18, 7:12 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

8.85%chance

4581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1559

930

Will all living US presidents attend Barack Obama's funeral?

Jan 5, 9:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

74.71%chance

19544

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1022

895

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