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Oscar News

Best Picture nominees? (2026 Oscars)

Sep 1, 1:53 PMJan 21, 11:59 PM

4771856

OptionProbability

One Battle After Another

Hamnet

Sinners

Marty Supreme

Sentimental Value

It Was Just an Accident

Frankenstein

Train Dreams

Wicked: For Good

Bugonia

Jay Kelly

Avatar: Fire and Ash

No Other Choice

The Secret Agent

The Testament of Ann Lee

F1

Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

Rental Family

A House of Dynamite

Weapons

Die, My Love

The Smashing Machine

Eddington

97

96

94

90

86

79

77

57

51

44

44

34

32

31

18

12

10

10

9

9

8

7

6

Best Actor nominees? (2026 Oscars)

Oct 6, 6:18 PMJan 21, 11:59 PM

2429920

OptionProbability

Leonardo DiCaprio - One Battle After Another

Timothée Chalamet - Marty Supreme

Wagner Moura - The Secret Agent

Michael B. Jordan - Sinners

Ethan Hawke - Blue Moon

Joel Edgarton - Train Dreams

Jesse Plemons - Bugonia

Dwayne Johnson - The Smashing Machine

George Clooney - Jay Kelly

Jeremy Allen White - Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

Paul Mescal - The History of Sound

Daniel Day-Lewis - Anemone

94

93

84

71

61

40

21

20

18

14

14

10

Best Director nominees? (2026 Oscars)

Nov 26, 9:38 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

1220241

OptionProbability

Paul Thomas Anderson - One Battle After Another

Chloé Zhao - Hamnet

Jafar Panahi - It Was Just an Accident

Josh Safdie - Marty Supreme

Ryan Coogler - Sinners

Joachim Trier - Sentimental Value

Guillermo del Toro - Frankenstein

Mona Fastvold - The Testament of Ann Lee

Yorgos Lanthimos - Bugonia

James Cameron - Avatar: Fire and Ash

96

93

85

74

73

59

27

20

12

5

Best Actress nominees? (2026 Oscars)

Oct 6, 6:24 PMJan 21, 11:59 PM

1019880

OptionProbability

Jessie Buckley - Hamnet

Renate Reinsve - Sentimental Value

Rose Byrne - If I Had Legs I’d Kick You

Emma Stone - Bugonia

Chase Infiniti - One Battle After Another

Amanda Seyfried - The Testament of Ann Lee

Kate Hudson - Song Sung Blue

Cynthia Erivo - Wicked: For Good

Jennifer Lawrence - Die, My Love

Julia Roberts - After the Hunt

Sydney Sweeney - Christy

June Squibb - Eleanor the Great

95

89

70

57

54

52

34

25

19

10

9

9

Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?

Feb 9, 3:48 PMDec 31, 10:01 PM

17.78%chance

9917451

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1864

977

Best Supporting Actress nominees? (2026 Oscars)

Dec 1, 2:51 PMJan 24, 12:00 PM

412896

OptionProbability

Teyana Taylor - One Battle After Another

Ariana Grande - Wicked: For Good

Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas - Sentimental Value

Amy Madigan - Weapons

Elle Fanning - Sentimental Value

Odessa A'zion - Marty Supreme

Gwyneth Paltrow - Marty Supreme

Wunmi Mosaku - Sinners

Regina Hall - One Battle After Another

Laura Dern - Jay Kelly

93

86

73

68

50

41

28

25

14

10

Will the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2027 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2028)

Dec 29, 6:46 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

54.73%chance

291794

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2090

1821

Will Barack Obama be nominated for a Golden Globe or Oscar in the next three years [2024, 2025, and 2026]?

Dec 11, 4:19 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

18.22%chance

271656

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2124

444

Best Actress Oscar is removed, renamed, or combined with Best Actor by mid 2034

Jun 30, 8:12 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

30.48%chance

8590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1510

662

Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)

Dec 13, 5:48 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

63.83%chance

23505

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

940

By 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction

Mar 31, 12:22 AMJan 2, 12:59 PM

17.96%chance

19302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1256

902

Will someone with the name Rigoberto/Rigobert win an Oscar, Olympic Gold Medal, or a US Congress Election by EOY2028?

Feb 14, 2:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.02%chance

15214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

928

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