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Padilla News

    Prediction markets for Padilla

    Who will be "almost president" in 2028?

    Aug 15, 6:42 PMNov 6, 3:59 PM
    248437

    OptionProbability

    JD Vance

    Gavin Newsom

    Josh Shapiro

    Ted Cruz

    Marco Rubio

    Kirsten Gillibrand

    Alex Padilla

    Greg Abbott

    Ron DeSantis

    Tammy Duckworth

    Tim Kaine

    Bernie Moreno

    J. B. Pritzker

    Brian Kemp

    Roy Cooper

    Jon Ossoff

    Raphael Warnock

    Kamala Harris

    Tim Walz

    Adam Schiff

    Thom Tillis

    Ted Budd

    John Fetterman

    Mike Pence

    Kathy Hochul

    Bob Casey Jr.

    68

    27

    21

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    15

    14

    14

    12

    12

    11

    11

    11

    10

    10

    8

    8

    Which CA governors will build more housing in 2027?

    Oct 23, 10:15 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM
    63845

    OptionProbability

    Xavier Becerra, more housing

    Xavier Becerra, less housing

    Other

    Alex Padilla, more housing

    Alex Padilla, less housing

    Katie Porter, more housing

    Katie Porter, less housing

    Rick Caruso, more housing

    Rick Caruso, less housing

    Tom Steyer, more housing

    Tom Steyer, less housing

    68

    28

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Which 2028 US Senate elections will a Democrat win?

    Sep 7, 12:16 AMNov 8, 12:00 AM
    93386

    OptionProbability

    California (Incumbent - (D) Alex Padilla)

    Illinois (Incumbent - (D) Tammy Duckworth)

    Maryland (Incumbent - (D) Chris Van Hollen)

    Connecticut (Incumbent - (D) Richard Blumenthal)

    Hawaii (Incumbent - (D) Brian Schatz)

    New York (Incumbent - (D) Chuck Schumer)

    Oregon (Incumbent - (D) Ron Wyden)

    Washington (Incumbent - (D) Patty Murray)

    Vermont (Incumbent - (D) Peter Welch)

    Colorado (Incumbent - (D) Michael Bennet)

    New Hampshire (Incumbent - (D) Maggie Hassan)

    Georgia (Incumbent - (D) Raphael Warnock)

    Arizona (Incumbent - (D) Mark Kelly)

    Pennsylvania (Incumbent - (D) John Fetterman)

    Wisconsin (Incumbent - (R) Ron Johnson)

    Nevada (Incumbent - (D) Catherine Cortez Masto)

    North Carolina (Incumbent - (R) Ted Budd)

    Ohio (Incumbent - TBD 2026 Special Election)

    Iowa (Incumbent - (R) Chuck Grassley)

    Alaska (Incumbent - (R) Lisa Murkowski)

    Kansas (Incumbent - (R) Jerry Moran)

    South Carolina (Incumbent -(R) Tim Scott)

    Florida (Incumbent - TBD 2026 Special Election)

    Utah (Incumbent - (R) Mike Lee)

    Missouri (Incumbent - (R) Eric Schmitt)

    Indiana (Incumbent - (R) Todd Young)

    Alabama (Incumbent - (R) Katie Britt)

    Louisiana (Incumbent - (R) John Kennedy)

    Idaho (Incumbent - (R) Mike Crapo)

    South Dakota (Incumbent - (R) John Thune)

    Arkansas (Incumbent - (R) John Boozman)

    Kentucky (Incumbent - (R) Rand Paul)

    North Dakota (Incumbent - (R) John Hoeven)

    Oklahoma (Incumbent - (R) James Lankford)

    96

    92

    92

    90

    90

    90

    90

    90

    89

    87

    85

    76

    75

    67

    67

    65

    59

    47

    35

    34

    28

    28

    27

    21

    20

    19

    12

    12

    11

    11

    10

    10

    10

    10

    Which US Senators will run for re-election in 2028?

    Sep 24, 7:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    3411

    OptionProbability

    Ted Budd (R-NC)

    Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV)

    John Hoeven (R-ND)

    Brian Schatz (D-HI)

    Tim Scott (R- SC)

    Mike Lee (R-UT)

    Jerry Moran (R-KS)

    Raphael Warnock (D-GA)

    Katie Britt (R-AL)

    John Thune (R-IA)

    Ron Wyden (D-OR)

    John Boozman (R-AR)

    Mike Crapo (R-ID)

    Tammy Duckworth (D-IL)

    Maggie Hassan (D-NH)

    John Kennedy (R-LA)

    Ron Johnson (R-WI)

    Mark Kelly (D-AZ)

    James Lankford (R-OK)

    Lisa Murkowski (R-AK)

    Patty Murray (D-WA)

    Alex Padilla (D-CA)

    Rand Paul (R-KY)

    Eric Schmitt (R-MO)

    Chris Van Hollen (D-MD)

    Peter Welch (D-VT)

    Todd Young (R-IN)

    TBD (?-OK)

    TBD (?-FL)

    Michael Bennet (D-CO)

    Richard Blumenthal (D-CT)

    John Fetterman (D-PA)

    Chuck Schumer (D-NY)

    Chuck Grassley (R-IA)

    78

    78

    77

    76

    76

    74

    74

    74

    70

    70

    67

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    62

    56

    46

    46

    41

    How many Democratic Senators will win their primaries in 2028?

    Sep 15, 1:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    4106

    OptionProbability

    11-14 win

    10 or less win

    15(all of them do)

    52

    40

    8

    Who will finish first in the 2028 top-two primary for U.S. Senate in California?

    Nov 5, 11:17 PMMar 8, 12:00 PM
    150

    OptionProbability

    Alex Padilla

    Other

    76

    24

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