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Pat Gelsinger News

CEO Tontine - which three of these twenty CEOs will survive longest?

Nov 19, 4:36 PMNov 27, 7:59 AM

5422040

OptionProbability

Mark Zuckerberg at Meta

Jensen Huang at Nvidia

Dario Amodei at Anthropic

Elon Musk at Tesla

Ma Huateng at Tencent

Sundar Pichai at Google

Shantanu Narayen at Adobe

Andy Jassy at Amazon

Mary Barra at General Motors

Doug McMillon at Walmart

David Solomon at Goldman Sachs

Masayoshi Son at SoftBank

Andrew Wilson at Electronic Arts

C. C. Wei at TSMC

Tim Cook at Apple

Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway

Bob Iger at Disney

Pat Gelsinger at Intel

Herbert Diess at Volkswagen

Linda Yaccarino at Twitter

65

26

23

23

19

18

18

17

17

16

16

16

14

11

1

1

1

0

0

0

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.88%chance

233212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1925

695

Pat Gelsinger's bet: Wavelength below 13.5nm (EUV) used in lithography before April 2036?

May 2, 10:18 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

42.37%chance

219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

86

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