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Prediction markets for Paul Thomas

Will any Mox member (as of Sep 11 2025) be a billionaire 5 years from now?

Sep 12, 1:36 AMSep 12, 1:29 AM

72.28%chance

2411553

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1615

619

Best Director winner? (2026 Oscars)

Jan 22, 2:12 PMMar 14, 11:59 PM

123090

OptionProbability

Paul Thomas Anderson - One Battle After Another

Ryan Coogler - Sinners

Josh Safdie - Marty Supreme

Joachim Trier - Sentimental Value

Chloé Zhao - Hamnet

84

12

1

1

1

Who will win the Oscar for Best Director?🏆|🎬 2026 Oscars

Jun 2, 4:21 AMMar 16, 10:59 PM

241569

OptionProbability

Paul Thomas Anderson

Ryan Coogler

Joachim Trier

Jafar Panahi

Chloé Zhao

Other

James Cameron

Guillermo del Toro

Kathryn Bigelow

84

8

3

3

1

1

0

0

0

Which film will win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Jan 6, 1:01 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

111349

OptionProbability

One Battle After Another

Sinners

Hamnet

Marty Supreme

Sentimental Value

The Secret Agent

Train Dreams

Frankenstein

It Was Just an Accident

Wicked: For Good

Avatar: Fire and Ash

F1

Bugonia

No Other Choice

Jay Kelly

Weapons

The Testament of Ann Lee

Other

71

17

4

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Does One Battle After Another have what it takes to win Best Picture at the 98th Oscars?

Jan 9, 10:20 PMMar 15, 11:59 PM

70%chance

6421

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

65

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win his 2nd Best Actor Oscar at the 98th Oscars?

Jan 8, 9:59 AMMar 16, 11:59 PM

12%chance

12315

OptionVotes

YES

NO

271

37

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Jan 28, 1:58 AMMar 15, 11:59 PM

62.55%chance

389

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129

77

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