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Prediction markets for Peng

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.49%chance

14227715

OptionVotes

YES

NO

27193

9686

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?

Nov 17, 6:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.54%chance

7710878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1196

857

Which Individiual will win PUMaC Division A? (Add answers!)

Nov 4, 9:27 PMNov 21, 1:00 PM

163419

OptionProbability

Oron Wang

Nathan Liu

Michael Zhao

Ryan Tang

Vincent Wang

Krithik Manoharan

Alexander Svoronos

David Fox

James Stewart

Kevin Yang

Jefferson Zhou

Channing Yang

Other

Eric Xie

Eric Guo

Selena Ge

Eddy Zhang

Shunyao Yan

Isaac Chan-Osborn

Liam Reddy

Maxwell Sun

Tony Sharma

Chester G

Million Wang

Christopher Peng

Calvin Wang

Alexander Wang

33

16

9

8

6

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?

Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.27%chance

352998

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1004

986

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?

Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.54%chance

422671

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1861

746

Will PenguinBot win Silicon League Season 43?

Nov 3, 2:58 AMDec 1, 4:59 AM

3.85%chance

3402

OptionVotes

YES

NO

500

20

A new species of penguin will be discovered in the Antarctic region by 2030

Jul 21, 10:23 PMFeb 28, 5:00 AM

4.55%chance

5339

OptionVotes

YES

NO

379

65

Will someone successfully introduce a breeding population of feral penguins (>10) in the Northern Hemisphere by 2035?

Jun 5, 3:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25%chance

5200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

86

Will there be a paper on microplastic levels in PARROTS OR PENGUINS BY EOY 2027

Mar 29, 9:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80%chance

7160

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

50

Will Barton Rhodes have a relationship with a penguin by EOY2050?

Sep 21, 3:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.97%chance

375

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Penguins Stock

Jan 15, 11:35 PMJan 23, 10:59 PM

55.49%chance

463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

70

68

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?

Aug 1, 4:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.64%chance

14

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

98

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