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Prediction markets for Peng

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?

Nov 17, 6:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40%chance

7210550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1074

931

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.5%chance

839342

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8763

5599

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?

Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.9%chance

312681

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

854

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?

Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.53%chance

341502

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

922

Will someone successfully introduce penguins to the north pole by mid 2031

Nov 2, 2:03 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

3.76%chance

6610

OptionVotes

YES

NO

509

56

A new species of penguin will be discovered in the Antarctic region by 2030

Jul 21, 10:23 PMFeb 28, 5:00 AM

4.17%chance

5311

OptionVotes

YES

NO

407

64

Will someone successfully introduce a breeding population of feral penguins (>10) in the Northern Hemisphere by 2035?

Jun 5, 3:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25%chance

5200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

86

Will Jose Luis Ricon be attacked by a penguin by EOY2035?

Sep 23, 11:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.71%chance

3110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

208

48

Will Jose Ricon, Ben Yu, Claire Wang, Sigil Wen, ishaan chugh, Asher, and Euan Ong all go penguin-watching together?

Sep 19, 1:05 AMSep 26, 3:59 AM

22.03%chance

390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

53

Will Moistcritikal / penguinz0 's lawsuit against the US Immigration Dept result in overturning their initial rulings?

May 4, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.11%chance

884

OptionVotes

YES

NO

182

55

Will Barton Rhodes have a relationship with a penguin by EOY2050?

Sep 21, 3:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.97%chance

375

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Penguins Stock

Jan 15, 11:35 PMJan 23, 10:59 PM

55.49%chance

463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

70

68

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