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Prediction markets for Pete

Will Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?

Jan 25, 1:15 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

30.37%chance

11119692

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1515

661

Will Pete Buttigieg ever become the Democratic nominee for president?

Jan 19, 2:11 AMNov 1, 3:59 AM

27.94%chance

316446

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1061

764

Will Pete Buttigieg run for President in 2028

Oct 10, 9:22 AMNov 1, 6:29 PM

78.82%chance

484299

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1221

918

If Pete Hegseth is confirmed, will he be seen drinking a drop of alcohol while he is Secretary of Defense?

Dec 5, 6:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

44.96%chance

393771

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1253

957

Will Pete Hegseth go to prison?

Dec 21, 5:14 AMDec 21, 5:12 AM

133539

OptionProbability

Not before 31 December 2030

in 2030

in 2028

in 2029

in 2027

in 2026

82

6

4

4

2

1

Will Pete Buttigieg run for president of the United States in 2028?

Nov 15, 1:45 AMDec 1, 4:59 AM

76.96%chance

253495

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1828

547

Will Pete Buttigieg ever be US President?

Sep 18, 6:56 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

24.76%chance

182655

OptionVotes

NO

YES

943

581

What government positions will Pete Buttigieg hold for any length of time in the rest of his life?

Apr 25, 4:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

221147

OptionProbability

Vice President

Governor

Senator

Representative

Chief of Staff

President

Ambassador

House Leader/Whip/Speaker

Mayor

Supreme Court Justice

45

35

30

25

24

23

17

13

12

3

Will Pete Hegseth lose his job in the next three months? He has been accused of ordering the murder of people

Dec 2, 4:48 AMMar 2, 4:44 AM

9.53%chance

261122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

308

32

Will Pete Hegseth write or say the words "Deus vult" while Secretary of Defence?

Jan 25, 1:40 PMJan 20, 10:59 PM

17.42%chance

25763

OptionVotes

YES

NO

218

46

Will Pete Rose be inducted into the Baseball Hall of Fame by the end of 2027?

Oct 20, 3:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.02%chance

8517

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Will Pete Buttigieg be president in his lifetime?

Nov 27, 4:42 AMDec 4, 4:59 AM

22.6%chance

16409

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

673

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