OptionProbability
Peter Njeim is permanently banned
Tumbles’ loan repayments are cancelled
Tumbles is banned temporarily (i.e. not permanently)
The main “Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan” market will be resolved by a mod
N/A, option added by mistake
Mods approval needed to resolve high worth markets
Tumbles is permanently banned
Manifold changes mechanics/permissions required for managrams
Adding a market setting or flag/filter where the market owner can't trade in that market
Tumbles is bailed out by Manifold
Tumbles is bailed (>2mil loan/transfer) by non-staff/non-admin user
The main "Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?" market will resolve N/A
100
50
4
3
2
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1004
10
1115
884
155
65
