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Prediction markets for Peter Marks

Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Jan 7, 4:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

515381

OptionProbability

Republicans

Democrats

Independents

52

48

0

Will Peter Thiel reference Manifold Markets by 2030?

Sep 15, 4:49 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

38.27%chance

16987

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1265

779

What price will Meta's consumer smart glasses be?

Nov 4, 7:14 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

30.03%chance

4252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

66

WILL THE AMAZON RAINFOREST DIE DUE TO AI IN 2026

Jan 2, 7:59 AMDec 31, 1:59 PM

6.8%chance

392

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

1

Is there a Markov boundary between Chuck Johnson and Peter thiel by EOY 2028?

Jan 23, 2:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

50

50

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