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Prediction markets for Peter Thiel
Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States?
Jul 30, 1:59 AMAug 6, 3:59 AM
5.6%chance
618670
OptionVotes
1218
907
OptionVotes
2157
845
OptionVotes
2086
899
Will Peter Thiel be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Jan 2, 5:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.18%chance
22992
OptionVotes
1482
927
OptionVotes
1115
884
Will an AI-powered tool produce a convincing gay pornography video of Elon Musk having sex with Peter Thiel by 2025?
Jan 1, 7:43 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM
34.79%chance
15774
OptionVotes
1057
855
Will AI finally generate an acceptable image of "Peter Thiel making out with, cuddling with, and incubating an egg together with a gay penguin" by 2025?
Jan 5, 4:48 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
84.79%chance
13267
OptionVotes
1181
938
Peter Thiel or a candidate who has previously worked for Thiel wins Republican nomination for President before 2033.
Feb 12, 5:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
31.41%chance
5151
OptionVotes
135
120
Will someone finally pester Peter Thiel on his position on microplastics in *any* conference (or in public) by 2026?
Jan 7, 7:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
31.98%chance
666
OptionVotes
176
101
OptionVotes
217
172
Will Peter Thiel's Horvath DNAm age be higher than his chronological age?
Jan 1, 7:49 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM
17.8%chance
361
OptionVotes
171
82
Will Peter Thiel employ a food taster for him by EOY 2030?
Feb 3, 8:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
25.51%chance
456
OptionVotes
165
80