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Petrovic News
Prediction markets for Petrovic
Prediction markets for Petrovic
Will LessWrong the website have shutdown by the end of 2025?
May 21, 1:03 AM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
4.8%
chance
15
1075
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1167
951
Will Kseniia Petrova be deported to Russia?
Apr 15, 9:16 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
19.95%
chance
15
275
Option
Votes
YES
NO
200
50
Will "The 2024 Petrov Day Scenario" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Sep 26, 6:51 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
12.16%
chance
1
150
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1150
978
Will "Stanislav Petrov Quarterly Performance Review" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Sep 27, 7:47 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
16%
chance
2
24
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1022
874
Will "The 2024 Petrov Day Scenario" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Sep 26, 7:02 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
15%
chance
1
12
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1011
933
Did the USA missile sites in Okinawa receive erroneous orders to launch their nuclear missiles during the cold war?
Feb 9, 10:16 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
50%
chance
2
4
Option
Votes
NO
YES
90
90
Happy Petrov Day! Commit to doing something depending on whether the button is pressed!
Sep 27, 12:57 AM
0
0
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