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Prediction markets for Pham

Who will be confirmed by the Senate as the next Chairman of the CFTC?

Dec 13, 5:37 AMDec 31, 1:03 AM

21229103

OptionProbability

Brian Quintenz

Caroline Pham

Summer Mersinger

Jill Sommers

Josh Sterling

Another person

96

1

1

1

1

1

Will CFTC commissioner Caroline Pham create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 25, 5:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.62%chance

16872

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1447

899

Will Hanoi ban gas powered bikes within Ring Roads 1 within one year?

Jul 15, 10:32 PMJul 15, 10:28 PM

49.66%chance

3661

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1007

993

Who will become General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam in 2026?

Jul 1, 2:48 AMJan 31, 3:59 PM

265

OptionProbability

To Lam

Pham Minh Chinh

Other

70

15

15

Detroit LVT: Will developers not care about the LVT? (2028)

Oct 13, 3:31 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

48.71%chance

343

OptionVotes

YES

NO

701

679

Will Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh resign or be removed from the Communist Party of Vietnam Politburo before 2026?

Jul 1, 2:44 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

39.31%chance

225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

80

Will Andrew Pham have kids earlier than Brian Bi?

Jan 3, 6:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.02%chance

223

OptionVotes

NO

YES

70

70

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