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Prediction markets for Placé

Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?

Jul 26, 3:04 AMAug 20, 10:59 PM

2.47%chance

18096812

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6287

159

Will ASI be achieved before a surgery takes place on the moon

Mar 29, 11:03 AMDec 6, 4:59 AM

69.52%chance

222102

OptionVotes

YES

NO

987

967

Will a public gay pride legally take place in the UAE by 2040?

Jun 24, 5:24 AMJan 1, 4:59 PM

45.22%chance

171359

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

909

Will another recreational expedition to the Titanic take place before 2026?

Jun 26, 4:41 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

34.44%chance

251308

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1092

752

Will a surgery take place on the moon before Jeff Bezos dies

Mar 29, 10:55 AMDec 6, 4:59 AM

18.99%chance

191294

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1257

904

ChatGPT allows advertisers to influence results or place ads before Jan 2026

Nov 10, 10:16 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

34.23%chance

21951

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

904

By the end of 2030, will a 2e29 FLOP training run have ever taken place?

Sep 9, 11:44 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

76.3%chance

7810

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1794

557

A tarrif is placed on Canadian streamers before 2029

May 24, 4:57 PMMay 25, 4:55 PM

30.13%chance

7523

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1523

657

Will a national referendum take place in 2025 in France?

Jan 2, 10:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

51.3%chance

8375

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

974

Will the first mission of Grand Theft Auto 6 take place in a prison?

Dec 5, 11:08 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

42.59%chance

22348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1105

909

Will there be a skyhook space structure placed in LEO before 2063?

May 28, 3:20 PMDec 31, 10:00 PM

67.72%chance

13234

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

953

Will “Vance” rise at least 150 places in the 2025 American baby name rankings?

Nov 10, 4:38 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM

51.94%chance

6168

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

962

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