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Porter News

    Prediction markets for Porter

    Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?

    Aug 19, 11:47 PMFeb 19, 4:59 AM
    17221788059

    OptionProbability

    Gavin Newsom

    Other

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Pete Buttigieg

    Kamala Harris

    Josh Shapiro

    Mark Kelly

    Jon Ossoff

    Gretchen Whitmer

    J.B. Pritzker

    Andy Beshear

    Ruben Gallego

    Michelle Obama

    Raphael Warnock

    Cory Booker

    Tim Walz

    Wes Moore

    Mark Cuban

    None

    John Fetterman

    Hillary Clinton

    Joe Biden

    Jeff Jackson

    Jared Polis

    Amy Klobuchar

    Mitch Landrieu

    Roy Cooper

    Dianne Feinstein

    Jimmy Carter

    Chuck Schumer

    Tim Kaine

    Bernie Sanders

    Tammy Duckworth

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

    Elizabeth Warren

    Michael Bloomberg

    Dwayne Johnson

    [Duplicate - Invalid]

    Hakeem Jeffries

    Andrew Yang

    Steven Kenneth "Destiny" Bonnell II

    Dean Phillips

    Bob Ferguson

    Jay Inslee

    Kathy Hochul

    Ro Khanna

    Anthony Blinken

    Susan Rice

    Scott Wiener

    Donald Trump

    Sam Altman

    Jeff Merkley

    Merrick Garland

    Taylor Swift

    Tammy Baldwin

    Katie Porter

    Phil Murphy

    Cenk Uygur

    Jamie Raskin

    Joe Manchin

    Sherrod Brown

    Chris Murphy

    Brian Schatz

    John Bel Edwards

    Clark Duke

    Stacey Abrams

    Nina Turner

    john smith

    Jon Stewart

    Duplicate ignore

    Gina Raimondo

    Ron Desantis

    Beto O'Rourke

    Vermin Supreme

    Hunter Biden

    Invalid answer

    John Jacob

    Alex Jones

    Bob Roberston the IV

    Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

    Stephen A Smith

    35

    15

    9

    5

    5

    5

    4

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

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    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

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    0

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    0

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    0

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    0

    0

    0

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    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will be elected president in 2028?

    Apr 24, 1:23 AMNov 3, 12:00 AM
    17531316559

    OptionProbability

    J.D. Vance

    Gavin Newsom

    Other

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Kamala Harris

    Donald Trump

    Pete Buttigieg

    Josh Shapiro

    Marco Rubio

    Glenn Youngkin

    Jon Ossoff

    Wes Moore

    Ron DeSantis

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Nikki Haley

    No 2028 Election

    Cory Booker

    Tucker Carlson

    Mark Cuban

    Andy Beshear

    Tim Walz

    Donald Trump Jr

    JB Pritzker

    Ivanka Trump

    Barron Trump

    Ro Khanna

    Rahm Emmanuel

    AI Overlord

    Joe Rogan

    Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson

    Ted Cruz

    Amy Klobuchar

    Kanye West

    Hunter Biden

    Mike Pence

    Raphael Warnock

    Jared Polis

    Mark Kelly

    Bernie Sanders

    Greg Abbott

    Stacey Abrams

    Elizabeth Warren

    Roy Cooper

    Tim Scott

    Mitch Landrieu

    Michelle Lujan Grisham

    Ruben Gallego

    Katie Porter

    Joe Biden

    Ration L. Ussy

    RFK Jr.

    Tetraspace

    Lina Khan

    Shawn Fain

    Elon Musk

    Ritchie Torres

    Taylor Swift

    Barack Obama

    Chris Murphy

    Stephen A. Smith

    Mickey Mouse

    Laura Loomer

    Abigail Spanberger

    Sam Altman

    John Fetterman

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Al Gore

    Kathy Hochul

    [deleted]

    Josh Hawley

    Ezra Klein

    Tim Kaine

    invalid

    Brian Kemp

    David McCormick

    Andrew Yang

    Anna Paulina Luna

    Amaryllis Fox

    Duplicate - Will Resolve No

    Duplicate - Will Resolve No

    Mike Johnson

    Steven Bonell (Destiny)

    Jamie Dimon

    Abrego Garcia

    Andrew Cuomo

    Chris Van Hollen

    Invalid

    invalid

    Deval Patrick

    Jasmine Crockett

    Oprah Winfrey

    Michelle Obama

    Sheldon Whitehouse

    Robert Prevost

    Harambe

    Josh Stein

    Jeff Jackson

    Rand Paul

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Elissa Slotkin

    23

    19

    11

    5

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

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    0

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    0

    0

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    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

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    0

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    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

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    0

    OptionProbability

    Eric Swalwell

    Tom Steyer

    Katie Porter

    Other

    Antonio Villaraigosa

    Rob Bonta

    Xavier Becerra

    Rick Caruso

    Ethan Agarwal

    Eleni Kounalakis

    Steve Hilton

    Jon Slavet

    Toni Atkins

    Tony Thurmond

    Betty Yee

    Kamala Harris

    Jesse Perez

    Michael L. Younger

    Alex Padilla

    Ian Calderon

    34

    15

    11

    10

    5

    4

    4

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    Julia Galef

    Scott Alexander

    Zvi Mowshowitz

    Paul Christiano

    Randall Munroe

    Josh Shapiro

    Jon Stewart

    Peter Singer

    @SemioticRivalry

    Dwarkesh Patel

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Michelle Obama

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Sam Wendover

    Spencer Greenberg

    Tammy Duckworth

    Kamala Harris

    Emmanuel Macron

    Andrew Yang

    Jared Polis

    Manifold Joshua

    J. B. Pritzker

    Satya Nadella

    Aella

    Katie Porter

    Andrew Wiles

    Andy Beshear

    Gavin Newsom

    @Mira

    Garry Kasparov

    MrBeast

    William Mc Askill

    Vermin Supreme

    Eric Schmidt

    Magnus Carlsen

    Bill Gates

    Raphael Warnock

    Mark Cuban

    Justin Trudeau

    Bernie Sanders

    Gordon Ramsay

    @strutheo

    Bryan Caplan

    Ursula von der Leyen

    Bill Maher

    Manifold James

    Sam Altman

    Michael Bloomberg

    Al Gore

    Bryan Cranston

    Kathy Hochul

    Cory Booker

    Blake Huber

    Taylor Swift

    Mitt Romney

    A randomly selected active Manifold user

    Manifold Austin

    Jose Luis Ricon

    Linus Torvalds

    Warren Buffett

    Keanu Reeves

    Ray William Johnson

    Cory Doctorow

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    LeBron James

    Zach Robinson

    Nikil Saval

    Ding Liren

    @ZacParker

    SCP-999

    Stannis Baratheon

    Alexandr Wang

    Tim Cook

    Liu Bei

    Jeff Bezos

    Hillary Clinton

    Chuck Norris

    Destiny

    Cao Cao

    Guillaume Verdon

    Emma Watson

    Oprah

    Rick Astley

    Peter Thiel

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Jimmy Carter

    Anatoly Karpov

    Rishi Sunak

    Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

    Anthony Fantano

    Javier Milei

    Nikki Haley

    Sundar Pichai

    Brian Tomasik

    Lionel Messi

    Cristiano Ronaldo

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Prince Harry

    Jeb "Please Clap" Bush

    Hunter Biden

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Liz Cheney

    Elon Musk

    Yann Lecun

    A randomly selected banned Manifold user

    Joe Rogan

    Tucker Carlson

    Ivanka Trump

    Jordan Peterson

    Ben Shapiro

    Sam Bankman-Fried

    Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.

    98

    96

    96

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    32

    29

    28

    25

    25

    22

    21

    20

    17

    16

    9

    8

    6

    6

    6

    Who will be the first female president of the U.S.?

    Aug 1, 2:44 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    10411146

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    No one: The office of the U.S. presidency ceases to exist before any woman holds it. (Only resolves to this if it appears that the office is permanently gone.)

    Kamala Harris

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Nikki Haley

    Elise Stefanik

    Kristi Noem

    Tammy Duckworth

    Hillary Clinton

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    Michelle Obama

    Stacey Abrams

    Katie Porter

    Rama Duwaji

    72

    7

    5

    4

    3

    3

    2

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    None listed here

    Technology Connections

    Zach "Sneaky" Scuderi

    Tucker Carlson

    Elon Musk

    HBomberguy

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Jennifer Lawrence

    Tom Cruise

    Sam Bankman-Fried

    Michelle Obama

    Eddie Redmayne

    Lil Nas X

    Fousey

    Ron DeSanctimonious

    Taylor Swift

    Porter Robinson

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Chappell Roan

    Donald Trump

    Kristen Stewart

    Kanye West

    89

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    OptionProbability

    Eric Swalwell

    Tom Steyer

    Other

    Xavier Becerra

    Rob Bonta

    Katie Porter

    Rick Caruso

    Antonio Villaraigosa

    Steve Hilton

    Eleni Kounalakis

    Betty Yee

    Alex Padilla

    Chad Bianco

    42

    19

    18

    4

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Who will be elected governor of California in 2026?

    Nov 18, 3:19 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM
    122005

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Eric Swalwell

    Tom Steyer

    Katie Porter

    Xavier Beccera

    Steve Hilton

    Stephen Cloobeck

    Li'l Petey

    36

    29

    16

    10

    4

    2

    1

    1

    What office will Katie Porter run for in 2026?

    Mar 10, 2:36 PMNov 3, 4:59 PM
    4321

    OptionProbability

    Governor of California

    None

    Attorney General of California

    Lieutenant Governor of California

    U.S. Representative (California’s 45th Congressional District)

    U.S. Representative (Any District other than CA-45)

    96

    33

    10

    10

    10

    10

    Next Player/Coach Arrested For Illegal GambLing

    Oct 26, 3:49 PMDec 31, 4:46 PM
    3194

    OptionProbability

    Malik Beasley

    Rick Pitino

    Michael Porter Jr

    Ja Morant

    LeBron James

    Kevin Durant

    45

    41

    19

    17

    11

    11

    Which CA governors will build more housing in 2027?

    Oct 23, 10:15 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM
    3170

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Alex Padilla, more housing

    Alex Padilla, less housing

    Katie Porter, more housing

    Katie Porter, less housing

    Rick Caruso, more housing

    Rick Caruso, less housing

    48

    9

    9

    9

    9

    9

    9

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