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Prediction markets for Puri

Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 500 tpa on December 31, 2026?

Mar 30, 9:46 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

79.28%chance

42349

OptionVotes

NO

YES

160

78

Will someone disrupt the global semiconductor supply chain by disrupting high-purity quartz mines by EOY 2028?

Mar 11, 10:50 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

10.58%chance

321438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1346

902

Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 1000 tpa on December 31, 2026?

Mar 30, 9:46 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

80.22%chance

31106

OptionVotes

NO

YES

206

34

Will China restrict exports of high-purity nickel powder on December 31, 2026?

Sep 28, 8:00 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

86.99%chance

1118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

218

69

Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 10000 tpa on December 31, 2026?

Mar 30, 9:47 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

36.6%chance

7110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

4

Will Andrej Karpathy get a personal chromatography/spectroscopy machine? [for purity testing] by 2030

Jul 30, 4:09 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.62%chance

495

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

57

Will China restrict exports of high-purity magnesium on December 31, 2026?

Sep 28, 7:58 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

86.96%chance

284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

182

82

Will Spruce Pine, NC high-purity quartz mining be fully operational on December 31, 2026?

Apr 6, 6:25 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

21.27%chance

235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135

3

Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 5000 tpa on December 31, 2026?

Mar 30, 9:46 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

61.22%chance

319

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

4

What Rice Purity Test score range are you in?

Jun 3, 2:41 PMDec 31, 1:55 PM

418

OptionProbability

55 to 59

60 to 69

45 to 54

90 to 100

85 to 89

80 to 84

75 to 79

70 to 74

38 to 44

32 to 37

25 to 30

20 to 24

15 to 19

5 to 14

1 to 4

15

8

8

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

Will Porter Square subway station in Boston install an air purifier to clean up its horrible air pollution by 2026?

Sep 11, 5:17 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42.22%chance

311

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

81

Will Spruce Pine, NC high-purity quartz mining be fully operational on December 31, 2027?

Apr 6, 6:26 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

77.65%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

80

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