Rana News

Will Elon Musk's AI Company (xAI) exceed OpenAI in valuation anytime before 2035?

Mar 2, 8:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

46.34%chance

467801

OptionVotes

YES

1213

226

Which of NATO members will have met the target of 2% of GDP defence spending in any year before 2030?

Feb 12, 12:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

364602

OptionProbability

United States

Poland

Finland

United Kingdom

Estonia

Latvia

Montenegro

Netherlands

Greece

Germany

Sweden

Denmark

France

Lithuania

Bulgaria

Romania

Albania

Czechia

Turkey

Italy

Spain

Slovenia

Canada

When is the first installment of customer funds going to be reimbursed by FTX? [ADD RESPONSES]

Feb 28, 8:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

143829

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2026

Before Jan 2025

Before Jun 2024

Before Sep 2024

[MEGAMARKET] What will be true of @jim's upcoming Rationalussy movie?

Feb 10, 2:12 PMDec 1, 10:59 AM

142109

OptionProbability

it exists

uploaded onto youtube

uses royalty-free music

has hard coded subtitles on at least 1 frame

sex scene

Fails the bechdel test

It contains the exact line, "All this time, we've been thinking rationally, when we should have been thinking rationalussy."

runtime of at least 10 minutes

Wario appears in the movie at least once

features AI-generated video

Rana (or a character clearly inspired by Rana) appears in a role with dialogue

there's multiple actors

Rana voices a character

The current summary from the Rationalussy Wiki is "shockingly accurate", as judged by @PlasmaBallin

it's debuted during Summer Camp or Manifest (2024)

Upon release, it unites all of humanity in devotion to rationalussy

Will UNRWA continue to operate in the Palestinian territories (Gaza or West Bank) by EOY 2025?

Feb 25, 5:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.06%chance

211297

OptionVotes

YES

1336

816

How many minutes of Harry Potter 2026 series will be streamed in the US in the first year?

Feb 24, 9:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

171082

OptionProbability

>5bn

>8bn

>10bn

>16bn

> 20bn

> 30bn

Will the value of Chinese housing stock fall below 20% of current value? (By 2031)

Feb 9, 7:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.15%chance

25755

OptionVotes

YES

1374

863

Will the European Common Frog (Rana temporaria) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 29, 10:24 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6.91%chance

4491

OptionVotes

YES

989

378

What percentage of their total claims will customers receive in the first installment issued by FTX International?

Feb 28, 8:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

82.57%chance

1176

OptionVotes

YES

256

Will the US ban businesses/merchants from receiving large crypto transfers from non-'KYC'ed self-hosted wallets?

Mar 24, 3:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.56%chance

14166

OptionVotes

YES

999

996

Achieve 1000Mana profit on Bitcoin related markets

Feb 29, 2:19 PM

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Will Elon Musk's AI Company (xAI) exceed OpenAI in valuation anytime before 2035?

Which of NATO members will have met the target of 2% of GDP defence spending in any year before 2030?

When is the first installment of customer funds going to be reimbursed by FTX? [ADD RESPONSES]

[MEGAMARKET] What will be true of @jim's upcoming Rationalussy movie?

Will UNRWA continue to operate in the Palestinian territories (Gaza or West Bank) by EOY 2025?

How many minutes of Harry Potter 2026 series will be streamed in the US in the first year?

Will the value of Chinese housing stock fall below 20% of current value? (By 2031)

Will the European Common Frog (Rana temporaria) become extinct in the current century?

What percentage of their total claims will customers receive in the first installment issued by FTX International?

Will the US ban businesses/merchants from receiving large crypto transfers from non-'KYC'ed self-hosted wallets?

Achieve 1000Mana profit on Bitcoin related markets

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