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Prediction markets for Rayner
Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?
Sep 29, 9:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
155165553
OptionProbability
43
22
15
4
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Who will be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at some point in their life?
Mar 27, 3:16 PMSep 9, 2:29 PM
8418057
OptionProbability
100
100
26
24
21
19
17
15
15
14
14
12
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
2
1
1
1
1
0
OptionProbability
23
18
13
7
5
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
OptionProbability
95
2
1
1
0
0
0
Who will be the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election?
Jul 27, 9:13 PMAug 16, 6:59 AM
344333
OptionProbability
85
4
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
Will Angela Rayner be Prime Minister of the UK before December?
May 14, 9:23 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
3.52%chance
154306
OptionVotes
5239
191
OptionProbability
42
21
15
8
6
3
3
1
1
OptionProbability
99
0
0
0
0
0
Who will be the next leader of the Labour Party after Andy Burnham?
Jul 9, 5:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5705
OptionProbability
57
10
10
8
5
5
2
2
1
If this person is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK election after 2024, will the PM be Labour?
Mar 13, 5:21 PMAug 14, 11:00 PM
6337
OptionProbability
41
41
41
38
35
34
34
34
28
28
28
28
24
OptionProbability
67
46
If this person is leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Labour?
Apr 30, 10:32 PMMay 1, 11:59 PM
7200
OptionProbability
35
31
31
30
29
28


