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Prediction markets for Raz

Will genetic testing reveal Razib Khan to be descended from Genghis Khan (or Mongolian conquerors) by 2070?

Aug 14, 11:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

77.86%chance

8293

OptionVotes

NO

YES

239

106

Will Razib Khan OR Cremieux be mentioned in a South park episode by 2030?

Jul 8, 11:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.06%chance

6220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

47

Convincing 30 second video of Jose Luis Ricon and Razib Khan sumo-wrestling by EOY2027

Feb 1, 8:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.93%chance

566

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

70

Will razib Khan become a comedian

Nov 25, 4:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29.45%chance

365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

65

Will razib Khan or Jose Luis Ricon or Charles Chuck Johnson be a playable character in GTA7

Nov 26, 12:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

160

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Exit valuation of Raz (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:36 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

130

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

59

14

14

14

Will Razib Khan recieve the Presidential Medal of Freedom by EOY2060?

Sep 21, 6:57 PMSep 29, 3:59 AM

43.06%chance

115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Will Razib Khan attend vibecamp 2025 or 2026?

May 17, 8:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will Razib Khan vote REPUBLICAN in the 2028 presidential election?

Nov 11, 1:24 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

Will janus/repligate, Rona Wang, Razib Khan, Ava Huang, Stephen Hsu, and Ben Yu ALL traverse the Oregon Trail by 2090?

Dec 2, 1:09 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

Will Stephen Hsu OR razib Khan become sperm donor by 2027

Jun 12, 2:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Judgement Day fanfic featuring Alex Zhu, repligate, JDP, Alexey guzey,Jose ricon,razib Khan, and parafactual by EOY 2028

Jun 11, 5:34 AMJun 19, 3:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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