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Prediction markets for Raz

Who will be the 2022-23 Gravity Chess Champion?

Jul 11, 11:19 PMFeb 15, 4:59 AM

41284838

OptionProbability

epicJames

epic

Other

Dyusha Gritsevskiy

Michelle Hung

Simon Popovic

ANTE

Louie

Derik K

Sophia

epicepoch

Valeria

me

Gal Raz

sdfgsdfgsdfg

66

34

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Who will get third place in the 2022 Gravity Chess Championship?

Oct 29, 5:52 PMFeb 17, 12:46 AM

126244

OptionProbability

Dyusha Gritsevskiy

epic

Derik K

epicJames

Louie

Michelle Hung

Other

ANTE

Valeria

Joe

Simon Popovic

Gal Raz

44

37

8

5

4

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will genetic testing reveal Razib Khan to be descended from Genghis Khan (or Mongolian conquerors) by 2070?

Aug 14, 11:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

77.86%chance

8293

OptionVotes

NO

YES

239

106

Will Razib Khan OR Cremieux be mentioned in a South park episode by 2030?

Jul 8, 11:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.06%chance

6220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

47

Will razib Khan become a comedian

Nov 25, 4:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29.45%chance

365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

65

Will razib Khan or Jose Luis Ricon or Charles Chuck Johnson be a playable character in GTA7

Nov 26, 12:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

160

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will >50% of Razib Khan+Chelsea Voss gene pairings have a IQ PRS score of > +2.18 by Savage et al. 2018 study SNPs?

Feb 2, 12:55 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48%chance

244

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

Exit valuation of Raz (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:36 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

130

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

59

14

14

14

Will razib Khan have a grimage lower than his real age

Jun 8, 5:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.97%chance

218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

85

Will Razib Khan recieve the Presidential Medal of Freedom by EOY2060?

Sep 21, 6:57 PMSep 29, 3:59 AM

43.06%chance

115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Will janus/repligate, Rona Wang, Razib Khan, Ava Huang, Stephen Hsu, and Ben Yu ALL traverse the Oregon Trail by 2090?

Dec 2, 1:09 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

Judgement Day fanfic featuring Alex Zhu, repligate, JDP, Alexey guzey,Jose ricon,razib Khan, and parafactual by EOY 2028

Jun 11, 5:34 AMJun 19, 3:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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