OptionProbability
Will 1. e4 be the most common opening move?
Will there be a player with more white losses than black losses?
Will any player reach the time-control (move 40) with less than a minute on their clock?
Will Matthias Bluebaum win a game?
Will there be a player with more black wins than white wins?
Will the players under 30 years old score more wins than those above 30?
Will any game last 100 or more moves?
Will an American Player (Fabiano or Hikaru) win the Candidates?
Will a player from Asia (Pragg, Sindarov, Wei Yi) win the Candidates?
Will a player over 30 win the Candidates Tournament?
Will there be a round with all decisive games?
Will any game begin with a move other than 1. e4, d4, c4, or Nf3?
Will the winner be on +5 or more (wins minus losses)?
Will the winner win with a round (or more) to spare?
Will Fabiano Caruana win the Candidates Tournament?
Will Anish Giri have the most drawn games or tie for the most drawn games of any player?
Will Matthias Bluebaum finish last?
Will Hikaru win the Candidates Tournament?
Will any of the following openings be played: Danish Gambit, Benko Gambit, Evans Gambit, King's Gambit, Smith-Morra Gambit?
Will the winner go undefeated?
Will a player from Europe (Giri, BlueBaum, Esipenko) win the Candidates?
WIll the winner be decided by tie-breaks?
Will Anish Giri win the Candidates Tournament?
Will any player underpromote a pawn?
85
84
79
70
55
52
50
47
42
40
36
28
27
25
23
19
18
15
13
12
