OptionProbability
Will 1. e4 be the most common opening move?
Will Matthias Bluebaum win a game?
Will a player over 30 win the Candidates Tournament?
Will any game last 100 or more moves?
Will an American Player (Fabiano or Hikaru) win the Candidates?
Will Matthias Bluebaum finish last?
Will a player from Asia (Pragg, Sindarov, Wei Yi) win the Candidates?
Will Fabiano Caruana win the Candidates Tournament?
Will any game begin with a move other than 1. e4, d4, c4, or Nf3?
Will Hikaru win the Candidates Tournament?
Will Anish Giri have the most drawn games or tie for the most drawn games of any player?
Will a player from Europe (Giri, BlueBaum, Esipenko) win the Candidates?
WIll the winner be decided by tie-breaks?
Will any of the following openings be played: Danish Gambit, Benko Gambit, Evans Gambit, King's Gambit, Smith-Morra Gambit?
Will Anish Giri win the Candidates Tournament?
Will any player underpromote a pawn?
76
74
56
55
47
40
36
24
23
21
18
15
10
8
