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Prediction markets for Richard

Will this Richard Hanania article on trans ideology hold up?

Oct 6, 4:51 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

73.61%chance

6913547

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1659

197

At what age will Richard Hanania die?

May 9, 8:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

56.83%chance

184881

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1025

972

Is Richard Hanania correct that major institutions are anti-white and anti-male. There is Gay propaganda in schools etc.

Apr 4, 11:03 PMJul 25, 7:24 AM

22.71%chance

294658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1084

945

Will Richard Dawkins ever convert to faith?

Aug 14, 12:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.51%chance

234461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5241

191

Will Richard Hanania (political writer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 2, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.36%chance

232495

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1870

918

Will there be a decent-budget biopic about Richard Feynman to 2026 end

Sep 29, 9:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.2%chance

332080

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1706

654

Richard Lewis stock (Permanent)

Jan 8, 7:23 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

131751

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1284

931

Will Richard Ojeda win North Carolinas 9th District?

Mar 4, 7:30 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

23.63%chance

10479

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

50

Will Keith Richards outlive Mick Jagger?

Oct 11, 5:34 PMNov 11, 7:59 AM

34.31%chance

18393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

916

In 2033, will Richard Hanania believe that the predictions they made about deepfakes came true?

Mar 30, 4:29 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

64%chance

12141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

952

Will Richard hananias live in or around Washington DC at the end of 2026?

Jun 7, 10:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.32%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

Will Bradley Voytek (or Richard Gao/Tom Donoghue/any member of his lab) win Kavli Prize in Neuroscience by 2050?

Sep 21, 5:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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