OptionProbability
Connecticut (Incumbent - (D) Richard Blumenthal)
California (Incumbent - (D) Alex Padilla)
Vermont (Incumbent - (D) Peter Welch)
Illinois (Incumbent - (D) Tammy Duckworth)
Washington (Incumbent - (D) Patty Murray)
Hawaii (Incumbent - (D) Brian Schatz)
Maryland (Incumbent - (D) Chris Van Hollen)
New York (Incumbent - (D) Chuck Schumer)
Oregon (Incumbent - (D) Ron Wyden)
Colorado (Incumbent - (D) Michael Bennet)
New Hampshire (Incumbent - (D) Maggie Hassan)
Arizona (Incumbent - (D) Mark Kelly)
Pennsylvania (Incumbent - (D) John Fetterman)
Georgia (Incumbent - (D) Raphael Warnock)
Wisconsin (Incumbent - (R) Ron Johnson)
Nevada (Incumbent - (D) Catherine Cortez Masto)
North Carolina (Incumbent - (R) Ted Budd)
Ohio (Incumbent - TBD 2026 Special Election)
Iowa (Incumbent - (R) Chuck Grassley)
Alaska (Incumbent - (R) Lisa Murkowski)
Kansas (Incumbent - (R) Jerry Moran)
South Carolina (Incumbent -(R) Tim Scott)
Utah (Incumbent - (R) Mike Lee)
Florida (Incumbent - TBD 2026 Special Election)
Missouri (Incumbent - (R) Eric Schmitt)
Indiana (Incumbent - (R) Todd Young)
North Dakota (Incumbent - (R) John Hoeven)
Arkansas (Incumbent - (R) John Boozman)
Idaho (Incumbent - (R) Mike Crapo)
Kentucky (Incumbent - (R) Rand Paul)
Louisiana (Incumbent - (R) John Kennedy)
Oklahoma (Incumbent - (R) James Lankford)
South Dakota (Incumbent - (R) John Thune)
Alabama (Incumbent - (R) Katie Britt)
94
93
92
90
89
87
74
67
66
65
61
44
35
34
27
20
17
15
14
12
10
8
7
11-14 win
10 or less win
15(all of them do)
52
40
