OptionProbability
Tyler Cowen
Jensen Huang
Marc Andreessen
Sam Altman
Demis Hassabis
Dario Amodei
Paul Christiano
Geoffrey Hinton
Elon Musk
Zvi Mowshowitz
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Donald Trump
Ilya Sutskever
Mark Zuckerberg
Dwarkesh Patel
Dan Hendrycks
Yoshua Bengio
Keir Starmer
Gwern
48th President of the United States
Chris Olah
Richard Sutton
The Pope
Vladimir Putin
Yann LeCun
Sacha Baron Cohen
Greta Thunberg
Gary Marcus
100
87
76
71
65
61
57
55
53
52
50
43
40
39
31
27
26
