OptionProbability
Tyler Cowen
Sam Altman
Demis Hassabis
Dario Amodei
Paul Christiano
Geoffrey Hinton
Zvi Mowshowitz
Marc Andreessen
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Elon Musk
Mark Zuckerberg
Dwarkesh Patel
Dan Hendrycks
Yoshua Bengio
Keir Starmer
Gwern
Jensen Huang
Donald Trump
48th President of the United States
Ilya Sutskever
Chris Olah
Richard Sutton
The Pope
Vladimir Putin
Yann LeCun
Sacha Baron Cohen
Greta Thunberg
Gary Marcus
100
87
76
71
65
61
57
55
53
52
50
43
40
39
31
27
20
