OptionProbability
Tyler Cowen
Jensen Huang
Marc Andreessen
Sam Altman
Demis Hassabis
Dario Amodei
Paul Christiano
Geoffrey Hinton
Elon Musk
Zvi Mowshowitz
Dwarkesh Patel
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Donald Trump
Ilya Sutskever
Mark Zuckerberg
Dan Hendrycks
Yoshua Bengio
Keir Starmer
Gwern
48th President of the United States
Chris Olah
Richard Sutton
Yann LeCun
The Pope
Vladimir Putin
Gary Marcus
Sacha Baron Cohen
Greta Thunberg
100
81
76
71
65
61
59
57
55
52
50
48
43
40
31
27
