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Prediction markets for Ride

Will Tesla have more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?

May 22, 12:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2.98%chance

205508701

OptionVotes

YES

NO

38159

2279

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55%chance

162128790

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11055

9045

When will Waymo offer SF-LA rides?

Nov 13, 6:44 PMJan 1, 6:38 PM

1432030

OptionProbability

2027

Apr 1 2026 - Aug 1 2026

Aug 1 2026 - Jan 1 2027

Jan 1 2026 - Apr 1 2026

Before EOY

69

12

10

7

2

Will Tesla have driverless ride-hailing in the US by end of year?

Feb 10, 9:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.38%chance

12530239

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2791

358

Tesla completes 20,000+ rideshare rides per week before April 2026?

May 1, 12:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.6%chance

2515573

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1267

789

Tesla completes 100,000+ rideshare rides per week before April 2026?

May 1, 12:10 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

31.83%chance

296945

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1464

683

Will Derek Gee ride another UCI cycling race for Israel - Premier Tech before leaving the team?

Aug 25, 5:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.69%chance

32555

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1616

619

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from SFO airport pickup/dropoff/terminal area by the end of 2026?

Sep 17, 8:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77.48%chance

121543

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1855

539

Will a self-driving ride hailing service be available to the general public in Greater Toronto by the end of 2035?

Oct 25, 6:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.76%chance

71200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1985

504

Will I ride an e-scooter or a bike without a helmet within the next three years?

Feb 4, 1:04 PMFeb 4, 10:59 PM

29.2%chance

91102

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1557

642

Will I be able to book an Autonomous Ride from Berkeley to SFO for less than $30, in 2027?

Aug 23, 12:51 AMJan 31, 7:59 AM

29.96%chance

14705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

854

Will a self-driving taxi service be cheaper than an Uber ride (with a driver) to the same location on 2025-12-31

Jan 2, 11:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

54.23%chance

6290

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1099

929

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