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Prediction markets for Ride

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.49%chance

498762125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

26489

3780

When will Waymo offer SF-LA rides?

Nov 13, 6:44 PMJan 1, 6:38 PM

2055426

OptionProbability

2027

Aug 1 2026 - Jan 1 2027

Apr 1 2026 - Aug 1 2026

Jan 1 2026 - Apr 1 2026

Before EOY

85

7

5

2

1

Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026

Dec 3, 6:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.37%chance

10529189

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1191

845

Will Derek Gee ride another UCI cycling race for Israel - Premier Tech before leaving the team?

Aug 25, 5:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1%chance

327513

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9950

101

Tesla completes 100,000+ rideshare rides per week before April 2026?

May 1, 12:10 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

1%chance

5419993

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9950

101

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from SFO airport pickup/dropoff/terminal area by the end of 2026?

Sep 17, 8:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.06%chance

172343

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

941

Will a self-driving ride hailing service be available to the general public in Greater Toronto by the end of 2035?

Oct 25, 6:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.76%chance

71200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1985

504

Will I ride an e-scooter or a bike without a helmet within the next three years?

Feb 4, 1:04 PMFeb 4, 10:59 PM

28.01%chance

91148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1603

624

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 10:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.6%chance

71088

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1012

988

Will Waymo give public driverless rides across the Golden Gate Bridge by the end of 2026?

Mar 17, 5:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.39%chance

12762

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1015

990

Will I be able to book an Autonomous Ride from Berkeley to SFO for less than $30, in 2027?

Aug 23, 12:51 AMJan 31, 7:59 AM

29.96%chance

14705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

854

Will Baidu driverless cars be available to ride in London in 2026?

Dec 22, 6:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.53%chance

4202

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

877

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