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Prediction markets for Ride

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.5%chance

5621045650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

46103

2172

When will Waymo offer SF-LA rides?

Nov 13, 6:44 PMJan 1, 6:38 PM

2285402

OptionProbability

2027

Aug 1 2026 - Jan 1 2027

Before EOY

Jan 1 2026 - Apr 1 2026

Apr 1 2026 - Aug 1 2026

95

2

1

1

1

Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026

Dec 3, 6:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.95%chance

13443675

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1639

644

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from SFO airport pickup/dropoff/terminal area by the end of 2026?

Sep 17, 8:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.28%chance

224960

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2805

357

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 10:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.73%chance

132289

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1956

511

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2027?

Sep 2, 8:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.43%chance

121750

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4095

1814

Can the public ride in a waymo or similar in Dec 2027 in NYC?

Apr 11, 2:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.32%chance

101563

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1813

551

Will Baidu driverless cars be available to ride in London in 2026?

Dec 22, 6:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.28%chance

131206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1482

675

Will a self-driving ride hailing service be available to the general public in Greater Toronto by the end of 2035?

Oct 25, 6:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.76%chance

71200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1985

504

Will I ride an e-scooter or a bike without a helmet within the next three years?

Feb 4, 1:04 PMFeb 4, 10:59 PM

28.98%chance

111163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1565

639

Waymo public rides in Munich by end of 2027?

Aug 25, 7:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.87%chance

7771

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

920

Will I be able to book an Autonomous Ride from Berkeley to SFO for less than $30, in 2027?

Aug 23, 12:51 AMJan 31, 7:59 AM

29.96%chance

14705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

854

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