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Prediction markets for Ride

Will Tesla have more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?

May 22, 12:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.27%chance

195448056

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14957

3690

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.24%chance

148116827

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11457

8728

Will Tesla have driverless ride-hailing in the US by end of year?

Feb 10, 9:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45%chance

10920868

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1106

905

Tesla completes 20,000+ rideshare rides per week before April 2026?

May 1, 12:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.65%chance

2415399

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1241

806

Tesla completes 100,000+ rideshare rides per week before April 2026?

May 1, 12:10 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

28.81%chance

286455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1572

636

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2025?

Jan 31, 7:56 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.06%chance

255164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

962

Will Waymo give public driverless rides on a freeway in the SF Bay Area by the end of 2025? [description]

Dec 10, 10:08 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

76.45%chance

172550

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1802

555

9. Robotaxi services will win double-digit market share in ride-hailing in at least 5 major U.S. cities.

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

21.67%chance

302549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1901

526

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from SFO airport pickup/dropoff by the end of 2025?

Dec 23, 9:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.71%chance

211655

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1243

804

Will I be able to book an Autonomous Ride from Berkeley to SFO for less than $30, in 2027?

Aug 23, 12:51 AMJan 31, 7:59 AM

31.67%chance

13674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1068

805

Will Zoox give public driverless rides somewhere in the US before the end of 2025

Jan 1, 8:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.6%chance

6530

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1412

708

Will a self-driving taxi service be cheaper than an Uber ride (with a driver) to the same location on 2025-12-31

Jan 2, 11:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

54.23%chance

6290

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1089

919

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