OptionProbability
Gavin Newsom
Other
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Josh Shapiro
Pete Buttigieg
Kamala Harris
Andy Beshear
Gretchen Whitmer
J.B. Pritzker
Cory Booker
Tim Walz
Wes Moore
Raphael Warnock
Jon Ossoff
Ro Khanna
Mark Cuban
Ruben Gallego
None
John Fetterman
Hillary Clinton
Joe Biden
Jeff Jackson
Jared Polis
Michelle Obama
Amy Klobuchar
Mitch Landrieu
Roy Cooper
Dianne Feinstein
Jimmy Carter
Chuck Schumer
Tim Kaine
Bernie Sanders
Tammy Duckworth
Mark Kelly
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Elizabeth Warren
Michael Bloomberg
Dwayne Johnson
[Duplicate - Invalid]
Hakeem Jeffries
Andrew Yang
Steven Kenneth "Destiny" Bonnell II
Dean Phillips
Bob Ferguson
Jay Inslee
Kathy Hochul
Anthony Blinken
Susan Rice
Scott Wiener
Donald Trump
Sam Altman
Jeff Merkley
Merrick Garland
Taylor Swift
Tammy Baldwin
Katie Porter
Phil Murphy
Cenk Uygur
Jamie Raskin
Joe Manchin
Sherrod Brown
Chris Murphy
Brian Schatz
John Bel Edwards
Clark Duke
Stacey Abrams
Nina Turner
john smith
Jon Stewart
Duplicate ignore
Gina Raimondo
Ron Desantis
Beto O'Rourke
Vermin Supreme
Hunter Biden
Invalid answer
John Jacob
Alex Jones
Bob Roberston the IV
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
Stephen A Smith
16
16
12
11
10
6
6
4
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
J.D. Vance
Other
Gavin Newsom
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Pete Buttigieg
Josh Shapiro
Kamala Harris
Donald Trump
Marco Rubio
Ron DeSantis
Jon Ossoff
Amy Klobuchar
Gretchen Whitmer
No 2028 Election
Cory Booker
Tucker Carlson
Mark Cuban
Andy Beshear
Tim Walz
Donald Trump Jr
JB Pritzker
Tulsi Gabbard
Josh Hawley
Rahm Emmanuel
Vivek Ramaswamy
Joe Rogan
Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson
Ted Cruz
Kanye West
Hunter Biden
Mike Pence
Raphael Warnock
Jared Polis
Mark Kelly
Bernie Sanders
Greg Abbott
Nikki Haley
Stacey Abrams
Glenn Youngkin
Elizabeth Warren
Roy Cooper
Tim Scott
Mitch Landrieu
Michelle Lujan Grisham
Ruben Gallego
Katie Porter
Joe Biden
Wes Moore
Ration L. Ussy
RFK Jr.
Tetraspace
Lina Khan
Shawn Fain
Elon Musk
Ritchie Torres
Taylor Swift
Barack Obama
Chris Murphy
Stephen A. Smith
Mickey Mouse
Ivanka Trump
Barron Trump
Laura Loomer
Abigail Spanberger
Sam Altman
John Fetterman
Ro Khanna
Al Gore
Kathy Hochul
[deleted]
Ezra Klein
Tim Kaine
invalid
Brian Kemp
David McCormick
Andrew Yang
Anna Paulina Luna
Amaryllis Fox
AI Overlord
Duplicate - Will Resolve No
Duplicate - Will Resolve No
Mike Johnson
Steven Bonell (Destiny)
Jamie Dimon
Abrego Garcia
Andrew Cuomo
Chris Van Hollen
Invalid
invalid
Deval Patrick
Jasmine Crockett
Oprah Winfrey
Michelle Obama
Sheldon Whitehouse
Robert Prevost
Harambe
Josh Stein
Jeff Jackson
Rand Paul
Elissa Slotkin
26
17
9
7
5
4
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
JD Vance
Other
Gavin Newsom
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Pete Buttigieg
Josh Shapiro
Kamala Harris
Donald Trump
Gretchen Whitmer
JB Pritzker
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.
None
Ron DeSantis
Andy Beshear
Nikki Haley
Michelle Obama
Tulsi Gabbard
Jamie Dimon
Tucker Carlson
Donald Trump Jr.
Tim Walz
John Fetterman
Mark Cuban
Ruben Gallego
Vivek Ramaswamy
Joe Biden
Tim Scott
Katie Hobbs
Greg Abbott
Elizabeth Warren
Mike Johnson
Ted Cruz
Mike Pence
Jared Polis
Ivanka Trump
Elon Musk
Sam Altman
Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson
Elise Stefanik
Kristi Noem
Nicole Shanahan
Scott Alexander
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Aella
George Clooney
Tom Hanks
Steven Pinker
Patrick Stewart
George R R Martin
Noah Smith
Matt Yglesias
Kanye West
Doug Burgum
Jeff Jackson
Mark Kelly
Glenn Youngkin
Barack Obama
Oprah Winfrey
Hillary Clinton
Joe Rogan
Ro Khanna
26
24
9
6
4
4
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
J. D. Vance
Josh Shapiro
Gavin Newsom
Pete Buttigieg
J. B. Pritzker
Gretchen Whitmer
Marco Rubio
Jeff Jackson
Jon Ossoff
Josh Hawley
KRANTZ (the abstract idea that evolves into a decentralized superintelligence, not the user)
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Glenn Youngkin
Elise Stefanik
Donald Trump Jr.
Nikki Haley
Ron DeSantis
Wes Moore
Andy Beshear
Kamala Harris
Brian Kemp
Amy Klobuchar
Cory Booker
Gina Raimondo
Ro Khanna
Chris Murphy
Brian Schatz
Tammy Duckworth
Tammy Baldwin
Chris Sununu
Katie Hobbs
Josh Green
Tina Kotek
Vivek Ramaswamy
Ted Cruz
Kristi Noem
Raphael Warnock
Jared Polis
Tom Cotton
Joni Ernst
Michael Bennet
Catherine Cortez Masto
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Kevin Stitt
Spencer Cox
Tim Walz
Ivanka Trump
Mark Cuban
Stephen Miller
James Donaldson (MrBeast)
Tim Scott
Robert F. Kennedy Jr
Andrew Yang
Beto O'Rourke
Mark Kelly
Jay Inslee
Deval Patrick
Eric Swalwell
Wayne Messam
Kirsten Gillibrand
Julian Castro
Dean Phillips
Katie Britt
Laphonza Butler
Eric Schmitt
Mike Lee
Chris Coons
Tim Kaine
Lisa Murkowski
Tate Reeves
Ruben Gallego
David Hogg
Will Hurd
Tulsi Gabbard
Dan Crenshaw
John Fetterman
Mark Zuckerberg
Stephen Curry
Rand Paul
Taylor Swift
Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)
Matt Gaetz
Joe Rogan
Marianne Williamson
Ezra Klein
Mike Pence
Stephen Colbert
Markwayne Mullin
Joe Manchin
Maura Healey
Al Gore
DUPLICATE
Dwayne Johnson (The Rock)
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Aella
Scott Alexander
Sam Altman
Tucker Carlson
Zendaya
Michelle Obama
Kanye West
Mitt Romney
Sarah Palin
Jon Stewart
Ben Shapiro
Bernie Sanders
Hillary Clinton
Elon Musk (Natural-born-citizen clause repealed/bypassed)
Me
Krantz (the user @Krantz)
41
22
17
14
13
12
12
12
11
10
10
9
9
8
8
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
Gavin Newsom
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Pete Buttigieg
Josh Shapiro
Other
Kamala Harris
Gretchen Whitmer
Ritchie Torres
Andy Beshear
Jon Ossoff
Tim Walz
JB Pritzker
Cory Booker
Chris Van Hollen
Hakeem Jeffries
Colin Allred
Jared Polis
John Fetterman
Elissa Slotkin
Rahm Emanuel
Wes Moore
Jasmine Crockett
Ruben Gallego
Ro Khanna
Zohran Mamdani
Raphael Warnock
Amy Klobuchar
Connor Duffy
[Invalid - Duplicate]
Yishan Wong
Adolf Hitler
Mark Cuban
Michelle Obama
Andrew Cuomo
Stephen A. Smith
There won't be a real election because of MAGA fascism
Jill Biden
No one
After the American Civil war 2, a military hero recognized for contributions during the conflict will be nominated
Matthew Robert Patrick (MatPat)
16
13
11
11
11
5
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Gavin Newsom
JD Vance
Vermin Supreme
Josh Shapiro
Pete Buttigieg
JB Pritzker
Nikki Haley
Jill Stein
Andy Beshear
Gretchen Whitmer
Corey Booker
Tulsi Gabbard
Glenn Youngkin
Ron DeSantis
Vermin Supreme - NA REMAKING
Brian Schatz
Jared Polis
Tim Walz
Steve Bannon
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Ted Cruz
Josh Hawley
Greg Abbott
Cornel West
Marianne Williamson
Adam Schiff
Raphael Warnock
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Donald Trump
Ro Khanna
Vivek Ramaswamy
Stephen A. Smith
Katie Britt
John Ossoff
Michael Bloomberg
Mitch Landrieu
Tammy Duckworth
Tim Scott
Robert F Kennedy Jr
Brian Kemp
Donald Trump, Jr.
Scott Perry
Andy Kim
Kamala Harris
Elise Stefanik
Mark Cuban
Amy Klobuchar
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Nicole Shanahan
Byron Donalds
Martin O'Malley
Mark Fischbach
Chris Sununu
Roy Cooper
Marty Walsh
Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson
Kristi Noem
Lauren Boebert
Matt Gaetz
Katie Porter
Chris Christie
John Fetterman
Elizabeth Warren
Andrew Yang
Wes Moore
Mike Pompeo
Daniel "Keemstar" Keem
Ron Paul
Cenk Uygur
Mike Pence
Michelle Obama
Bernie Sanders
Elon Musk
Samuel L. Jackson
Ilhan Omar
Chuck Norris
Mickey Mouse
Taylor Swift
Hillary Clinton
Joe Biden
Jimmy Carter
85
81
80
78
75
73
69
69
66
62
57
57
54
52
51
50
47
46
45
43
42
42
41
41
37
37
34
34
33
33
32
32
31
31
30
28
27
27
25
25
22
22
22
21
21
20
20
20
20
18
18
18
17
17
17
17
15
14
14
14
13
13
13
12
12
8
8
7
7
6
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
3
3
3
1
OptionProbability
Make the bread taste good
Don't eat anything for at least 48 hours before eating the bread
Stretch-and-fold after mixing, 3x every 30 min
Create indentation, fill with melted cheese and butter
Bake on upside-down sheet pan, covered with Dutch oven
Resolve this option YES while eating the bread
Donate the bread to a food pantry, homeless person, or someone else in need
Use sourdough instead of yeast
Sprinkle 3 grams of flaky sea salt on top of each loaf before the second bake
Watch the video
Autolyse 20 minutes
3 iterations of stretch-and-fold, at any time during the 14h waiting period. Minimum wait time between iterations 1 hour
Make a poolish 12 h ahead: 100 g flour + 100 g water + 0.8 g yeast (0.1 %). After it ferments, use this poolish in place of 100 g flour and 100 g water in the final dough.
Bake it with your best friend.
Add 50g honey
Swap 200ml water for milk
Incorporate a whole grain flour (buckwheat for example)
More steam! Either spritz with more water (preferably hot) or actually pour some boiling water in just before closing the lid.
Bake for an amount of minutes equal to the percent this market answer is at when it comes time to begin baking. (Maintain the ±3 minute tolerances and the 2:1 ratio of time before:after the water spritz.)
Use King Arthur Bread Flour instead of All-Purpose
Decompose it into infinite spheres, then a few parts per sphere, rotate the spheres by arccos(1/3), unite them and you will find 2 chilis (Banach-Tarski)
Let dough rise on counter only until double volume or 2h max, any time longer in fridge
Add lots of butter (0.2 ml per gram)
Use 50% whole grain flour
Ditch current process, do everything the same as the video
Toast the bread
Eat the bread while punching @realDonaldTrump in the face
Eat the bread while watching your mana balance steadily tick to (M)0
Throw the bread at a telescope
Add 50g sugar
Put a baking rack in the Dutch oven before putting the loaf in, raising the loaf off the floor and lofting it over a layer of air.
Replace all water spritz steps with a basting of extra virgin olive oil.
Use flour made from an unconventional grain e.g. barley, millet, oats, rye, sorghum, maize etc.
Assume the chili is not in the interval [0,1], square it for more chili, if it is in (0,1), take the square root, else (equals 0 or 1) add 1 to it.
Assume the chili is in the interval (0,1), square it for less chili, if it is in (1,infinity) take the square root, if it is in (-infinity,0) take the negative of the square of the of the chile, else (equals 0 or 1) subtract 1 from it.
Get your friends to help you make a batch ten times the size, but add a Pepper X (2.7M Scoville heat units) to the mixture
Add 1tsp of diastatic malt powder per 3cps of flour
replace 10% of flour with farina bona
Bake the bread into a fun shape, like a fish, or an octagon
While the bread is baking, tip every user who voted "Yes" on this option 25 Mana
Add 50g vital wheat gluten
Give ChatGPT your current recipe as well your take on what optimal bread tastes like, then take that advice for your next bake
Bread flour, 3x yeast, cut rise to ~3h
Use whole wheat to improve the nutrition of the bread
Add an amount of MSG equivalent to half the current salt content
Place small ice cubes between parchment and pot instead of water
Cook the bread with a rod/puck of aluminum foil (or similar) in the core in an attempt to conduct heat through the center of the bread, cooking it evenly like a doughnut.
Make all of the ingredients from scratch.
Add a pinch of sugar
Make the bread edible then throw it in
Buy bread from a michelin star restaurant.
Increase water by 50 g
Drink vodka while eating the bread
Cover bread with damp paper towel instead of initial water spritz. Rehydrate paper towel during 2nd spritz. Remove paper towel before placing on cooling rack.
Do FOLDED
Quit Manifold into the bread.
Kill the bread into Manifold.
Improve the bread
Start at 500F, drop to 450F and uncover half way through
Grind/powderize all salt used into a fine powder (with pestle & mortar or similar device)
it needs more salt
Add 1/2 cup yogurt to the bread and name the bread “gurt” while addressing it with “yo, gurt”.
Half yeast
Ship a piece of the bread to a random person.
Encourage people to participate in the market in good faith while making the bread
Add 2g? of baking soda
Let dough sit 48 hrs
Resolve this option NO while eating the bread
put butter into it
Mix half sodium/potassium chloride
Add a tablespoon of sugar
Bake for 5 fewer minutes
Bake one more minute
Mail the bread to 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. Washington D.C.
Use tap water instead of fancy RO water
Frost it and put sprinkles on it to make it a birthday cake.
Add sawdust to increase the volume of the bread (but only like 10% sawdust by volume max. maybe 20% if it's good sawdust)
Add as many Jack Daniel's whiskey barrel smoking chips as feasible to the Dutch oven before baking, physically separating them from the bread as necessary while baking.
Eat the bread while sending all your mana to @realDonaldTrump
Bake the Manifold Crane into the Bread
Don't eat anything for at least 24 hours before eating the bread
Quadruple salt
Do all the changes in the top 5 open options by probability, excluding this option
Have someone sell the bread to you at an expensive price
Use lemonade instead of water.
Bake one fewer minute
Bake the cake while wearing a onesie.
Bake vegimite into it.
Bake for 5 more minutes
Replace salt with sugar
Eat the bread in front of the White House.
Bake vodka into it
Implement all options that resolved NO
Make the bread inedible then throw it out.
Replace flour with flowers
Throw the bread at @realDonaldTrump
Force Feed it to @realDonaldTrump
Make the bread great again
Cut the bread into the number of traders in the market slices.
Make naan bread, an easy-to-make bread
Only buy ingredients from 7/11.
Implementing every element listed below.
Put a non-lethal dose of any rat poison.
Just make donuts instead
Bake it in an easy bake kids oven
Think positive thoughts before tasting
Use a plastic baking sheet.
Eat the bread while betting yes on Cuomo on Manifold
Ditch all the steps. Just buy the bread from the supermarket
Double oven temperature
Halve oven temperature
Play classical music while baking
Light it on fire with birthday candles.
Bake it with a microwave
Eat the bread while betting yes on Mamdani on Manifold
Wear a suit while baking the cake.
Bake your social security number into it.
Bring it to Yemen and put a bomb in it
Bake America Great Again
Sacrifice a lamb
Add MAGA and a splash of Trump juice
Bake in a cat and a dog
Explode it:
Take a fat dump in the dough
Sit in dough 24 hrs
Let dough sit 24 hrs
Bake in rectangular tin
double yeast
halve salt
Double salt
Add 2tsp olive oil
Refrigerate dough instead of room temp wait
Do not mix salt and yeast in water together
Put fork in microwave
Don't eat anything for at least 12 hours before eating the bread
Add 2tbsp vanilla extract
Eat the bread with friends
Bake it in the country you were born in.
Eat the bread over the course of a week.
Bake the bread with love
92
90
88
85
85
80
72
70
70
67
66
65
64
63
62
62
59
58
52
52
52
51
51
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
47
47
46
42
42
41
41
40
38
37
35
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
33
32
31
31
28
27
26
26
24
24
24
23
22
20
20
20
19
18
18
17
17
17
16
16
15
15
14
14
14
13
12
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
2025-03-05: PORTO VELHO vs GUAPORÉ (Rondoniense)
2025-03-09: PORTO VELHO vs VILHENA (Rondoniense)
2025-03-15: PORTO VELHO vs GENUS (Rondoniense)
2025-03-19: BARCELONA RO vs PORTO VELHO (Rondoniense)
2025-03-26: GUAPORÉ vs PORTO VELHO (Rondoniense)
2025-03-19: BARCELONA RO vs PORTO VELHO (Rondoniense)
2025-03-26: GUAPORÉ vs PORTO VELHO (Rondoniense)
2025-03-16: PORTO VELHO vs GENUS (Rondoniense)
2025-03-23: ROLIM DE MOURA vs PORTO VELHO (Rondoniense)
2025-03-01: BARCELONA RO vs PORTO VELHO (Rondoniense)
2025-03-26: JI-PARANÁ vs PORTO VELHO (Rondoniense)
2025-04-11: MIXTO vs PORTO VELHO (Serie D)
2025-04-18: PORTO VELHO vs CAPITAL BRASILIA (Serie D)
2025-04-11: MIXTO vs PORTO VELHO (Serie D)
2025-04-18: PORTO VELHO vs CAPITAL BRASILIA (Serie D)
2025-03-12: GUAPORÉ vs PORTO VELHO (Rondoniense)
2025-03-12: CAPITAL BRASILIA vs PORTO VELHO (Copa Do Brasil)
2025-03-12: CAPITAL BRASILIA vs PORTO VELHO (Copa Do Brasil)
2025-03-12: CAPITAL BRASILIA vs PORTO VELHO (Copa Do Brasil)
2025-03-30: ROLIM DE MOURA vs PORTO VELHO (Rondoniense)
2025-04-02: JI-PARANÁ vs PORTO VELHO (Rondoniense)
2025-03-30: ROLIM DE MOURA vs PORTO VELHO (Rondoniense)
2025-04-02: JI-PARANÁ vs PORTO VELHO (Rondoniense)
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
66
55
50
50
50
50
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Magnus Carlsen
Donald Trump
jd vance
Vivek Ramaswamy
Neil Howe
Mehdi Hasan
Ro Khanna
Jaron Lanier
Daniel Sheehan
Chris Bledsoe
Hikaru Nakamura
Stephen Colbert
Kyrsten Sinema
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Aella
Destiny
Taylor Swift
xQc
Kamala Harris
Vaush
Hasan Piker
Ludwig
100
100
100
77
50
50
50
50
50
50
36
34
34
25
22
17
13
10
10
7
5
5
OptionProbability
Other
Gavin Newsom
Alexandria Ocasio Cortez
Pete Buttigieg
Josh Shapiro
Gretchen Whitmer
JB Pritzker
Jamie Dimon
Ro Khanna
Mark Cuban
Kamala Harris
Andy Beshear
Tim Walz
Raphael Warnock
Cory Booker
Hakeem Jeffries
Chris Van Hollen
24
12
11
10
8
5
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
OptionProbability
Other
J.D. Vance
Marco Rubio
Pete Buttigieg
Amy Klobuchar
Mark Kelly
Raphael Warnock
Ron DeSantis
Donald Trump
Gretchen Whitmer
Josh Shapiro
Kamala Harris
Gavin Newsome
Nobody
Joe Biden
Cory Booker
Andrew Yang
Chris Sununu
Larry Hogan
Nikki Haley
Glenn Youngkin
Tim Scott
Greg Abbott
Mike Pence
Ted Cruz
Kristi Noem
Josh Hawley
Stacey Abrams
Ayanna Pressley
Jared Polis
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Elizabeth Warren
Antony Blinken
Kirsten Gillibrand
Michael Bennet
Deval Patrick
Beto O'Rourke
Eric Adams
Bill de Blasio
Steve Bullock
Julián Castro
Bernie Sanders
Liz Cheney
Michelle Obama
Andy Beshear
Roy Cooper
Ro Khanna
Gina Raimondo
Mitt Romney
Tom Cotton
Rand Paul
Chris Christie
Tammy Duckworth
32
25
24
4
4
4
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
505
125