OptionProbability
Venezuelan National football team qualifies to the world cup
Maduro no longer in power in Venezuela
69
31
He moves to another university, away from Harvard by mid 2026
Will he have a child by mid 2026? Best wishes to him and his family
He writes a book which appears on the nytimes bestseller list by mid 2029
He joins George Mason University by mid 2026
He spends at least a year overseas by mid 2029
He wins a Nobel prize by mid 2036
He joins Manifold and is verified by mid 2026
He moves to another university, away from Harvard by mid 2024
He moves to another university, away from Harvard by mid 2025
He retires from academic life by mid 2024
Harvard withdraws or softens the results of the investigations which found against him by mid 2025
Harvard apologizes for the claims against him and admits they were without merit by mid 2025
64
57
44
33
24
0
OptionVotes
YES
NO
335
126
Before 2034
Before 2035
Before 2033
Before 2032
Before 2031
Before 2030
Before 2029
Before 2028
Before 2026
Before 2027
50
41
37
34
20
14
1
