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Prediction markets for Russo

Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Jan 10, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.53%chance

519202166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4557

1090

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?

Jan 22, 8:13 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5.38%chance

183167202

OptionVotes

YES

NO

37000

1401

Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war

Apr 8, 3:00 AMMay 15, 3:59 AM

49.41%chance

162103349

OptionVotes

NO

YES

989

918

In how many months from the the 1 of January 2025 will the Russo-Ukraine war end.

Feb 27, 9:30 PMFeb 1, 10:59 PM

3651768

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 3

Above 6

Above 9

Above 12

Above 15

Above 18

Above 24

100

100

100

100

96

90

74

56

Will Russia win the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Jan 22, 10:36 AMFeb 1, 9:59 PM

67%chance

483847

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

70

Will Zelensky survive the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Feb 8, 3:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

88.12%chance

362612

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1659

863

Will Putin be alive at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Feb 8, 3:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79.85%chance

442338

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1564

794

Who will the Wikipedia article for the Russo-Ukrainian conflict say was the victor one year after ceasefire/peace?

Oct 13, 12:30 AMJan 2, 1:29 AM

82218

OptionProbability

Neither

Russia

Ukraine

69

18

13

[Inverting Resolutions] What would be true in a world where the Russo-Ukrainian War is over by end 2025?

Aug 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

101903

OptionProbability

Harris is POTUS

The US is in a state of civil war

Elon Musk has fled any criminal charges or sought asylum in any country

NATO officially deployed into the conflict

Ukraine is in NATO

China has invaded Taiwan

Oil prices are $120/bbl or more (Spot Crude, IMF database)

Israel-Hamas War is also over

Zelenskyy and Putin are both alive

Trump is POTUS

96

87

85

80

73

69

69

50

14

10

Will the Russo-Ukrainian war end within a month if Putin dies

Jan 18, 2:50 AMJul 1, 4:59 AM

44.72%chance

311873

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1315

602

Russo-Ukrainian War ends officially by end of 2026?

Aug 16, 9:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.29%chance

15420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict? [METACULUS]

Oct 11, 5:04 PMJan 30, 11:59 PM

4307

OptionProbability

By 2030-01-01

By 2028-01-01

By 2027-01-01

59

50

42

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