OptionProbability
Saxony
Thuringia
Brandenburg
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
Saxony-Anhalt
Saarland
Berlin
Bremen
Rhineland-Palatinate
Schleswig-Holstein
Hesse
Lower Saxony
North Rhine-Westphalia
Hamburg
Baden-Württemberg
Bavaria
100
98
81
61
51
48
16
13
12
11
8
5
2
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1582
632
416
24
No
Yes, partial recount
Neither (e. g. court stays neutral and refers the case back to parliament, or no verdict happens before the next election)
Other
Yes, full recount
50
250
40
