OptionProbability
Saxony
Thuringia
Brandenburg
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
Saxony-Anhalt
Berlin
Saarland
Hamburg
Lower Saxony
North Rhine-Westphalia
Bremen
Hesse
Rhineland-Palatinate
Schleswig-Holstein
Baden-Württemberg
Bavaria
100
98
80
77
58
51
38
31
29
19
16
13
5
2
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1582
632
No
Yes, partial recount
Neither (e. g. court stays neutral and refers the case back to parliament, or no verdict happens before the next election)
Other
Yes, full recount
50
12
234
43
