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Iran’s IRGC Warns of Harsher Response to Any New Israeli Strike
Authors
5
6 months ago
Prediction markets for Salami
Prediction markets for Salami
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
Nov 17, 6:56 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
35.62%
chance
68
10405
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1194
859
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?
Dec 10, 3:41 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
13%
chance
39
5455
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1557
872
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
Dec 10, 3:42 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
48.51%
chance
27
2304
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1222
658
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?
Dec 10, 3:42 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
32.76%
chance
28
1069
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1013
955
Will China invade Taiwan directly or will they apply a salami tactic and only take over small islands near the Mainland?
Aug 16, 11:39 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
61.28%
chance
4
30
Option
Votes
NO
YES
127
97
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