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Iran’s IRGC Warns of Harsher Response to Any New Israeli Strike
Authors
5
9 months ago
Prediction markets for Salami
Prediction markets for Salami
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
Nov 17, 6:56 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
40%
chance
72
10550
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1074
931
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?
Dec 10, 3:41 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
9.5%
chance
83
9342
Option
Votes
YES
NO
8763
5599
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
Dec 10, 3:42 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
38.9%
chance
31
2681
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1071
854
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?
Dec 10, 3:42 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
26.53%
chance
34
1502
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1173
922
Will China invade Taiwan directly or will they apply a salami tactic and only take over small islands near the Mainland?
Aug 16, 11:39 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
61.28%
chance
4
30
Option
Votes
NO
YES
127
97
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